Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 290239
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
939 PM CDT THU AUG 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WARM AND A LITTLE MUGGY WITH STILL A FEW SHOWERS NEAR
CLARKSVILLE...TEXARKANA.. AND RUSTON. OUR LATEST SOUNDING SHOWS A
HIGHER PWAT OVER 1.8 AND A DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO THE MID LEVELS
AND A WEAK NW FLOW ALOFT. WE ARE CONTENT TO LEAVE SLIGHT POP IN
AREA WIDE FOR THE OVERNIGHT WITH THE SLIVER OF CHANCE AFTER
MIDNIGHT IN OUR FAR NW. WE HAVE EVEN SEEN A SHOWER RECENTLY DOWN
CLOSE TO ALEXANDRIA. THE WATER VAPOR IS SHOWING A GOOD MID LEVEL
PUSH ACROSS W TEXAS WHERE MOST OF THE TSTMS ARE OCCURRING AT THIS
TIME. NO CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST WITH COLD FRONT IN N OK
PANHANDLE AND NW TX...SLOWLY DRIFTING THIS WAY FOR THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO AS OUR COVERAGE WILL BE ON THE MUCH NEEDED INCREASE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 626 PM CDT THU AUG 28 2014/

AVIATION...
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO CONTRIBUTE TO VCTS CONDITIONS ACROSS AREA
TERMINALS MAINLY AFTER 29/18Z. OTHERWISE...ASIDE FROM POSSIBLE
MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES DUE TO GROUND FOG AROUND 29/12Z
ACROSS MLU/LFK/ELD TERMINALS...VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL AREAWIDE
WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AVERAGING AROUND 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  76  93  74  86  73 /  20  40  30  60  30
MLU  72  93  73  85  71 /  20  30  30  60  40
DEQ  71  90  71  86  72 /  20  40  40  50  20
TXK  73  94  72  85  72 /  20  40  40  50  20
ELD  71  92  72  83  71 /  20  30  40  60  30
TYR  75  93  76  88  74 /  20  40  30  50  20
GGG  74  92  74  87  73 /  20  40  30  50  20
LFK  76  93  76  89  75 /  20  40  30  50  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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