Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 262316
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
616 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue across West Central Texas terminals
through the period. Light north winds will become light and
variable overnight, and then swing around to the southwest for
daylight hours on Thursday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

Look for dry conditions, cooler temperatures, and light winds. As
surface high pressure builds over Texas tonight, winds will
diminish to around 10 mph or less. Overnight lows will be mainly
in the lower to mid 40s, with possibly upper 30s at some locations
along our Interstate 10 corridor. For tomorrow, winds will slowly
increase during the day. Tomorrow afternoon, highs will be mainly
in the 75 to 80 range. As the surface high pushes farther south of
West Central Texas tomorrow afternoon, expect winds mainly from
the west around 10 mph.

LONG TERM...

Warm and dry conditions expected this weekend as a lee
trough/weak surface low develops over West Texas. Southwest
surface winds will keep moisture shunted off to the east. Highs
in the mid and upper 80s area expected and a few areas may
approach 90 in the Concho Valley and Western Big Country.

By Monday, however, the the upper flow becomes more zonal as an
upper trough approaches from the west. The ECMWF and GFS models
both bring the upper trough over the region, but the ECMWF is
weaker, more open, and has much less rainfall associated with it.
The GFS has been consistent over the last couple days in bringing
rainfall amounts up to an inch in the Monday night to Tuesday
time frame. Given the uncertainty at this time range will
maintain the 20 to 30 percent rain chances.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  43  78  53  89  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  41  81  50  88  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  39  78  47  84  52 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

07




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