Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 162141
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Drum Fire...Santa Barbara County Fire
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
141 PM PST Sat Dec 16 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1400 PST on December 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Gusty northerly winds are expected to continue across
the region through this evening, with gusts up to 30 mph over the
ridges surrounding the Drum Fire area. Later this evening the
winds begin to shift to the northeast and will decrease in speed near
the Drum Fire through Sunday morning. By late Sunday morning into
early afternoon, the winds will shift to the southeast and south, and
then to the west by late in the afternoon. Humidities will decrease
into the upper 20s to near 30 percent by Sunday afternoon. The
overnight recoveries will be fair to good, especially in the valley
bottom as winds subside overnight and clear skies allow for efficient
cooling.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....62-65.
Min humidity........34-38 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 13 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
 Ridgetop...........North winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL becoming 2500 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 25 mph.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Areas of smoke developing late.
Min temperature.....46-51.
Max humidity........55-65 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds 4 to 8 mph shifting to the northeast
up to 5 mph after midnight.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 8 to 15 mph with gusts to 18 mph
                    becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight.
 Ridgetop...........North winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 28 mph in
                    the evening becoming northeast 6 to 12 mph after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL subsiding to 800 ft AGL after
                    midnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 25 mph becoming east 10 to 15 mph.


.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of smoke.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds 2 to 5 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........East winds 6 to 12 mph shifting to the south, then
                    becoming west 6 to 12 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming west.


$$
Forecaster...SMITH
Requested by...Charles Peterson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1720033.0/LOX
.EMAIL sbc.ecc@sbcfire.com


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