Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS02 KWNS 300550
SWODY2
SPC AC 300548

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY FROM
SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO INTO SOUTHWESTERN THROUGH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

...SYNOPSIS...

SPLIT FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST OVER THE U.S. SATURDAY WITH PRIMARY
BELT OF WLYS FROM THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC. A CUTOFF
UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY DRIFT FROM THE SWRN STATES INTO NRN MEXICO.

...SRN AZ THROUGH SWRN AND SCNTRL TX...

A SERIES OF VORTICITY MAXIMA WILL ROTATE AROUND THE LARGER CUTOFF
UPPER-LOW CIRCULATION INTO THE SWRN AND SCNTRL STATES. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
FROM SRN AZ INTO SRN NM WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODEST 6-6.5
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND WEAK AOB 300 J/KG MUCAPE.

OTHER SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR FARTHER EAST
FROM SWRN THROUGH CNTRL TX WITHIN DEVELOPING ZONE OF THETA-E
ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT IN ASSOCIATION WITH A STRENGTHENING
SLY LLJ. MODEST LAPSE RATES AND WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY
SEVERE THREAT.

..DIAL.. 01/30/2015




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