Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37
000
FXUS66 KHNX 052108
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
108 PM PST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND AND DRY WEATHER INTO AT LEAST
THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A "REX BLOCK" PATTERN OVER
THE WEST WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST
AND LOW PRESSURE CENTERED WELL SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO. THIS VERY
STABLE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH
RESULTING TEMPERATURES RISING TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL. FORECAST
MODELS KEEP A RIDGE OVER THE REGION INTO TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK THEN
A CHANGE IN THE OVERALL UPPER AIR PATTERN OVER NORTH AMERICA IS
PROJECTED BY DETERMINISTIC MODELS (LATEST MODEL RUN) AND THE
ENSEMBLES WHICH INCORPORATE MANY MODELS AND MODELS RUNS.

GIVEN THIS SCENARIO, THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE OF A PACIFIC
SYSTEM MOVING INTO AT LEAST NORTHERN CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK. AT THIS TIME, IT APPEARS THAT CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA WILL NOT GET TOO MUCH PRECIPITATION EVEN IF THE SYSTEM
PENETRATES SOUTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA. ALL IN ALL CONTINUED DRY
AND ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...LOCAL MVFR VISIBILITY IN
MIST BETWEEN 12Z AND 17Z FRI. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 03-05       84:1929     46:1981     57:1890     31:1971
KFAT 03-06       86:1899     48:1952     54:2011     31:1971
KFAT 03-07       84:1899     48:1918     57:1986     30:1969

KBFL 03-05       86:1929     50:1981     58:1975     30:1923
KBFL 03-06       82:1972     51:1958     57:1972     30:1903
KBFL 03-07       83:1993     51:1919     63:1975     28:1907
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DUDLEY
AVN/FW...DUDLEY
SYNOPSIS...WP

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.