Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 251123

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
623 AM CDT Tue Oct 25 2016




Rinse and repeat, right?  It`s very quiet across Middle Tennessee
this morning, with clear skies and temperatures a little cooler
behind yesterday`s "frontal" passage.  High pressure will settle
into the region today, allowing for continued clear skies and
afternoon highs slightly warmer than yesterday.

I know many are still hoping for at least some rain with the system
that is expected in here Wednesday night and Thursday, however, it`s
looking more and more likely that many won`t see any rain from this
system.  Latest model runs, especially the 00Z Euro, are showing
little to no QPF.  Will stick with slight to low-end chance PoPs
Wednesday night through early Thursday morning.  This includes less
than one quarter of an inch of rain for this "event".

As weak as this system will be, we will also be lacking any cold air
advection behind the front.  This means temperatures won`t respond
much at all to the frontal passage.  Afternoon highs will remain 6
to 10 degrees above normal Friday and Saturday.

You were probably also hoping that this weekend`s system I talked
about yesterday might provide some much needed rain.  Doesn`t look
like it.  Much like the mid-week system, long range guidance is
already hinting either no rain or eliminating the system all
together.  The Euro still holds onto a frontal passage Saturday
night and while dry, we should see a small moderation of
temperatures for the end of the weekend.  Either way, it looks like
we will remain above average on the temperature front all week.



VFR. Winds look to be light around 5 knots for the most part
during the TAF period, going from northeasterly this morning to
more southeasterly by the early overnight hours. Some high clouds
may move in during the day, but looking at mostly clear skies and
VFR conditions to persist over the next 24 hours.





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