Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 301150
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
650 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

MVFR ceilings will affect the southern terminals through the
morning hours, with VFR ceilings around 5 KFT expected this
afternoon. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will develop
again this afternoon across the area. Just about any TAF site will
have the potential to see convection on station this afternoon
but due to limited coverage, will only include VCSH at this time
and make amendments as necessary. Expect light winds the next 24
hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 354 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016/

SHORT TERM...
A weak upper low will remain offshore of the Texas Gulf Coast today,
with high pressure situated to the north across Arkansas and
Missouri. Low to mid level flow between these two features will
remain easterly again today, which will maintain a moist and
moderately unstable airmass across the region. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon, with the
best chance for development across the western half of the
forecast area. Precipitable water values will remain between 1.5
and 1.75 inches, so the strongest activity will be capable of
producing locally heavy rainfall, along with brief gusty winds.
Temperatures will be similar to yesterday, with afternoon highs
mainly in the upper 80s, with lows tonight in the upper 60s and
lower 70s.

JW

LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)

An upper level ridge will build back over Texas on Wednesday, then
shift southwest into northern Mexico through this weekend. Moisture
will remain abundant through the period, despite upper level ridging
increasing over West Central Texas. Isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday through Friday,
although the influence of the upper level ridge will suppress any
widespread convection. Any storms that do develop may result in
locally heavy rainfall as precipitable water values generally remain
in the 1.5 to 1.7 inch range. Expect high temperatures through the
period mainly in the upper 80s to lower 90s, with overnight lows in
the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  87  69  90  70 /  40  20  20  20
San Angelo  89  69  90  69 /  40  30  20  10
Junction  87  70  89  69 /  40  30  20  10
Brownwood  88  71  89  70 /  30  20  20  10
Sweetwater  86  69  87  70 /  40  30  30  20
Ozona       85  69  87  69 /  40  40  20  10

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$


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