Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000 ACUS11 KWNS 272216 SWOMCD SPC MCD 272216 KSZ000-280015- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1752 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0516 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL KS CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 272216Z - 280015Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND/HAIL AND A BRIEF TORNADO MAY ACCOMPANY SCATTERED STORMS REMAINING ALONG THE DRYLINE THROUGH ABOUT SUNSET. DISCUSSION...CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AS A REMNANT WWD-MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS MERGING WITH THE DRYLINE OVER CNTRL KS. WHILE HOT SURFACE TEMPERATURES FROM THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S TO THE W OF THE DRYLINE IS SUPPORTING MODERATE INSTABILITY...SURFACE TEMPERATES HAVE COOLED RATHER RAPIDLY WITH PASSAGE OF THIS OUTFLOW IN S-CNTRL KS. THIS SUGGESTS THAT THE SPATIAL EXTENT OF TSTMS WILL LIKELY REMAIN CONFINED ALONG THE DRYLINE. WITH A PRONOUNCED WEAKNESS IN MID-LEVEL WLYS PER DDC VWP DATA...CONVECTION SHOULD STRUGGLE TO GREATLY ORGANIZE...ESPECIALLY WITH SRN EXTENT. BUT WITH A STRENGTHENING SLY LLJ...A BRIEF TORNADO IS POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF N-CNTRL KS. ..GRAMS/GUYER.. 08/27/2015 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC... LAT...LON 39869864 39949816 39929761 39609738 38079817 37269906 37339988 38409960 39389913 39869864

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