Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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385 ACUS11 KWNS 060832 SWOMCD SPC MCD 060831 GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-061030- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1872 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0231 AM CST TUE DEC 06 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...THE FL PANHANDLE...FAR SOUTHEASTERN AL...AND SOUTHWEST GA CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 516 VALID 060831Z - 061030Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 516 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...A THREAT OF LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY BE DEVELOPING ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE TORNADO WATCH ALONG A COLD FRONT...WITH BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO THREAT PERHAPS ALONG THE STATIONARY FRONT. DISCUSSION...REMOTE WIND SENSORS INDICATE WINDS THROUGH ABOUT 850 MB HAVE VEERED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS...RESULTING IN MAINLY STRAIGHT-LINE HODOGRAPHS ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR FROM THE FL PANHANDLE INTO FAR SOUTHERN GA. A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS REMAINS SOUTH OF THE STATIONARY FRONT...WITH AROUND 500 J/KG MUCAPE PER SFCOA. RECENT RADAR TRENDS SHOW SOME INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE ALONG THE COLD FRONT FROM SOUTHEAST AL INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...ALTHOUGH LIGHTNING HAS NOT BEEN PARTICULARLY FREQUENT. AS THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...WIND FIELDS ALOFT WILL INCREASE FURTHER. THIS COULD RESULT IN SOME UPTICK IN WIND THREAT...AS MEAN WINDS INCREASE. THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL MAKE LITTLE IF ANY NORTHWARD PROGRESS THROUGH EARLY MORNING...WITH THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT IMMEDIATELY ALONG AND SOUTH OF IT. A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT ESPECIALLY ALONG THIS BOUNDARY WHERE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE AUGMENTED... HOWEVER...STABLE SURFACE AIR EXISTS TO THE NORTH WHICH WILL MINIMIZE ANY TORNADO THREAT UNLESS STORMS CAN MAINTAIN MOTIONS ROUGHLY ALONG THE FRONT. ..JEWELL.. 12/06/2016 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE... LAT...LON 29058695 30348613 31148580 31098466 31488349 31638275 31548227 31278194 30658212 29368343 29358384 29188521 29058695

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