000
FXUS62 KCAE 260647
AFDCAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
247 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Ridge of high pressure will be over the coastal areas today as
a weak front will be moving west of the area leading to a slight
chance of showers in the northern CSRA and western Midlands.
Fair Saturday through Monday with a gradual warming trend. A weak
front is expected to bring a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late Tuesday through Thursday, mainly northern and
eastern areas.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
High pressure will continue ridging down the East Coast as the
remains of a frontal boundary move northward through GA. This
will keep easterly flow over the forecast area which will allow
for moisture advection and partly to mostly cloudy skies
through today and tonight. Although moisture will be increasing
and interacting with the front over the far western portions of
the forecast area pwat values will be just over 1 inch and
dynamics and instability will be minimal. As a result have
remained with slight chance of showers from midday through the
afternoon hours only for the far western portions of the
Midlands and northern portions of the CSRA. Rainfall amounts
will be limited to a couple hundredths at most locations. Clouds
will linger into tonight as the east to southeasterly flow will
keep moisture over the area. High temperatures this afternoon
will be in the mid 70s to around 80 with lows tonight in the mid
to upper 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
An upper ridge axis will shift overhead, with a weak surface
high pressure axis ridging into our region. Fair weather
expected with a gradual warming trend.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Upper ridge will shift east Tue/Wed, with an upper disturbance
slowly riding by, mainly to our north and east, along with a
weak frontal boundary and a slight increase in moisture,
providing a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly
northern and eastern areas. A deeper upper trough, along with
another front and better moisture appears will provide a better
chance of showers and thunderstorms late week, mainly just
beyond the forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Restrictions along with variable conditions through the period.

high pressure will be ridging down the eastern seaboard through
the period creating easterly flow and pushing moisture into the
area. This will combine with a weak frontal boundary west of the
region and result in low clouds through much of the period.
Current satellite and surface obs show IFR to low end MVFR cigs
just east of CAE/CUB/OGB which will move into the terminals
between 08 and 09z. The low cigs will be patchy at the onset
then become predominate by mid morning as moisture further
increases across the area. Although moisture will be increasing
the potential for any showers remains west of the terminals and
have remained without mention. Low clouds are expected to begin
lifting in the afternoon however current guidance suggests cigs
restrictions into the evening hours. Winds through the period
will be easterly at 8 knots or less.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...Widespread aviation impacts unlikely
through Tuesday.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
GA...None.

&&

$$