Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA
000
FXUS63 KDMX 160826
AFDDMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
326 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
.SHORT TERM.../TODAY /...
ISSUED AT 316 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
THE WEATHER WILL BE MUCH QUIETER TODAY AS A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
AREA BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. A LARGE STRATUS BANK HAS
DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT AND WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING...AS WELL AS SOME PATCHY FOG IN THE NORTH...BUT THIS SHOULD
ALL BURN OFF BY AROUND 13-15Z. THEREAFTER EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS AND VERY LITTLE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION.
DESPITE LIGHT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH...PEAK SUMMER
INSOLATION SHOULD STILL BRING TEMPERATURES UP INTO THE LOW TO MID
80S ACROSS THE AREA.
.LONG TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ISSUED AT 316 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM HAS SHIFTED SOUTH A BIT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS AND WILL SHAVE BACK ON POPS FOR MONDAY BASED ON THAT. AFTER
THE SYSTEM MOVES TO THE EAST MONDAY NIGHT THERE WILL BE A BREAK
FROM THE WET PATTERN FOR A FEW DAYS. THOUGH THERE ARE SOME LOW
POPS AROUND AS ONE COULD VIRTUALLY ALWAYS SAY THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR...IT SHOULD REMAIN DRY UNTIL ABOUT THU. FROM THU ON THERE
WILL BE CHANCES FOR THUNDER WITH THE BEST CHANCE DURING THE
CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORED NIGHTTIME HOURS. A BROAD UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WITH THE UPPER
JET REMAINING CLOSE ENOUGH...IT WOULD APPEAR IA WILL BE PRIMED FOR
PERIODIC "RING OF FIRE" TYPE CONVECTION FROM THU THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&
.AVIATION...16/06Z
ISSUED AT 1147 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013
CLEARING SKIES ACROSS NORTHWEST IOWA AS SURFACE HIGH CONTINUES TO
BUILD INTO THE STATE BY SUNDAY MORNING. WITH THE SATURATED
GROUND AND COOLER TEMPS OVERNIGHT...EXPECTING MVFR FOG TO DEVELOP
PAST 09Z SUNDAY. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE VFR
CONDITIONS DURING THE DAY SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. A SHORTWAVE
WILL MOVE ACROSS NEBRASKA AND INTO KANSAS SUNDAY NIGHT...AND SOME
UNCERTAINTY IN TIMING OF ANY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOP SUNDAY
NIGHT...SO LEFT TAFS DRY ATTM.
&&
.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...LEE
LONG TERM...MS JUN 13
AVIATION...PODRAZIK