Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 142134
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
434 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AS EXPECTED...THE TROPICAL LOW/WAVE HAS FOUND ITSELF IN A VERY
HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF...WITH STRONG UPPER
LEVEL EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS NOTED STREAMING FROM THE FL
PENINSULA TO THE BOC BETWEEN AN E-W ORIENTED RIDGE OVER THE GULF
COAST AND AN UPPER LOW OVER THE YUCATAN. THE WAVE IS FCST TO
CONTINUE GENERALLY WWD AND BE NEARING THE MID TO LOWER TX COAST BY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON/EVENING. THE CYCLONICALLY CURVED FLOW AROUND
THIS FEATURE WILL IMPART A MOIST EAST TO SOUTHEAST FETCH INTO THE
REGION...HELPING TO FURTHER MODIFY THE COOL CONTINENTAL AIRMASS IN
PLACE...AND INCREASING RAIN CHANCES MON THROUGH WED...WITH TUE
REPRESENTING A RELATIVE MAXIMUM AS LIFT IS FURTHER AIDED BY A
DIGGING ERN CONUS TROF AND ASSOCIATED REINFORCING FRONT.

RAIN CHANCES DECLINE ON THU AS DEEP MSTR IS SUPPRESSED SOUTHWARD
INTO THE GULF AND MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD
OVERHEAD...AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN RELATIVELY LOW THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE AT OR
BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.

13

&&

.MARINE...
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME MORE EASTERLY TONIGHT AND SOUTHEAST
TOMORROW AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS WEST ACROSS THE WESTERN
GULF. HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO SINK SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE AREA
ON WEDNESDAY...WITH EAST WINDS RETURNING AND PERSISTING THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  72  89  75  87 /  10  40  20  60
KBPT  73  90  76  88 /  10  40  20  60
KAEX  69  89  71  87 /  10  30  20  50
KLFT  73  89  74  87 /  10  50  20  60

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$





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