Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 230807
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
307 AM CDT THU JUN 23 2016

.DISCUSSION...The sub-tropical ridge continues to stretch from the
Atlantic across the northern gulf coast this morning. Aloft, an
upper ridge is stretched from Central Texas to the Atlantic east
of Jacksonville. Today, much like yesterday, this will keep a
warm and moist flow off the gulf at the surface while shower and
storm activity is suppressed. Diurnal shower coverage will be
isolated, or perhaps low end scattered at best, for the next few
days as this pattern remains generally stagnant over the region.

Early next week the pattern begins to shift as the ridge
retrogrades back west and a weak back door cold front moves to
near the gulf coast. This will occur after an upper low and trough
moves across southern Canada and the northern tier states during
the weekend. The trough will dig into the east coast sending the
weak front south and eroding the east edge of the upper ridge by
Monday and Tuesday. High temps will also decrease somewhat as this
occurs as more cloud cover and storms develop.


&&

.MARINE...The sub-tropical ridge will remain stretched from the
Atlantic into the northern gulf coast through the weekend. This
will keep a generally light onshore flow in place.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  93  74  93  74 /  10  10  10   0
LCH  90  75  91  77 /  20  10  20  10
LFT  91  74  92  76 /  20   0  20  10
BPT  91  75  92  77 /  20  10  20  10

&&

.LCH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...05



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