Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 252117

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
217 PM PDT Mon Sep 25 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Daytime and nighttime temperatures will continue to
slowly warm as the week wears on. Many locations will be in the
60s and 70s by mid-week. We are also in a period of dry weather.


.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Wednesday. Dry conditions are
expected. An area of low clouds made their way north to south
across eastern Nevada today, associated with a positive-tilt
trough over NV/UT/AZ. And now there is cloudiness running north
to south over the western part of the LKN CWFA. The cloudiness
seemed to have kept temperatures down a bit, not allowing for a
significant surge of warmth due to opacity and the northerly
component of the flow aloft. The trough will be moving east the
next couple days while dissolving in the flow aloft.
Precipitation with this system will mainly hang near the 4-corners
area of the country, well east of the LKN CWFA. However the
circulation around this feature will continue to impede the
potential warming. High Temperatures will generally rise through
the 60s to around 70 degrees. Low temperatures will generally be
in the 30s.

.LONG TERM...Wednesday night through next Monday. This should be
mainly a dry period. However the models have been changing a bit
run to run. Pacific high pressure will become progressive and
move east across the state. There is a low circulation west of the
4-corners area of the country showing up in the models, progged
to undercut the ridge by Thursday. This interaction could bring
some additional cloudiness to eastern Nevada but precipitation is
expected to be east of Nevada. Then, by next Saturday, before
another Pacific High can strengthen and expand, there may be
enough troughing over Nevada to bring a slight chance for
precipitation to northeast Elko County. Initially model agreement
is better on the latest run however the models once again diverge
by as little as 24hrs later. So will keep the forecast dry for
now. High Temperatures will rise to around 70 degrees each day.
Low temperatures will start out generally in the 30s and rise into
the 40s by the weekend.


.AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected at KWMC KEKO KELY and
KTPH through Tuesday afternoon.


.FIRE WEATHER...No fire weather concerns expected over the next several
days. Daytime and nighttime temperatures will slowly warm, with many areas
reaching afternoon highs in the 60s and 70s by the middle to latter
portion of this the week. No significant wind or precipitation is




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