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000
FXUS64 KLZK 062337
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
537 PM CST FRI DEC 6 2013

.AVIATION...
MVFR OCNL IFR DUE TO CEILINGS AND PATCHY -FZRA/-PL/-SN/BR THROUGH
MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING VFR. MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS AFTER MID MORNING SAT.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 420 PM CST FRI DEC 6 2013/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

MAJOR WINTER STORM CONTS TO WIND DOWN ACRS AR HEADING INTO THIS
EVENING. HAVE SEEN A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN
AFFECT THE AREA SINCE THE MRNG HRS. IMPRESSIVE SNOW/SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS NOTED ACRS NWRN AR...WITH SIG ICING NOTED ACRS
PORTIONS OF W-CNTRL AND N-CNTRL AR.

EXPECT SOME LINGERING LGT PRECIP WL BE MENTIONED THRU EARLY THIS
EVENING. SINCE THE ACCUMULATING PRECIP HAS NOT ENDED..WENT AHEAD AND
CANCELLED ALL WINTER WEATHER WARNINGS AND ADVY/S AS OF 4 PM.

FOCUS WL THEN TURN TO THE VERY COLD TEMPS THAT WL IMPACT THE NATURAL
STATE THRU THE WEEKEND. COMBO OF DCRSG CLOUDS...ALONG WITH
SNOWPACK...WL ALLOW THE MERCURY TO DIVE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS BY
SAT MRNG ACRS NRN AND WRN AR. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME SUB
ZERO READINGS AS WELL. A BRISK NLY WIND WL ALSO PRODUCE SUB ZERO
WIND CHILL READINGS ACRS MUCH OF NRN AR LATE TNGT AND SAT MRNG. AS A
RESULT...WL ISSUE A WIND CHILL ADVY FOR THE NRN THIRD OF THE FA
LATER TNGT AND SAT MRNG.

PLAN TO UNDERCUT MOS TEMPS FOR MOST AREAS...ESP ACRS NRN AND CNTRL
AR...DUE TO PERSISTENT SNOW/ICE COVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THE NEXT STORM SYS WL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF MAINLY LGT WINTRY
PRECIP TO THE FA LATER SAT NGT AND CONTG THRU SUN. MODELS CONT TO
INDC SMALL AMTS OF PRECIP...WL THE BEST CHCS STILL EXPECTED ACRS
SERN AR. FCST ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND/OR ICE LOOK TO RMN CLOSE TO
ADVY CRITERIA ON SUN AT BEST...SO WL NOT ISSUE ANY ADDITIONAL
HEADLINES ATTM AND WL CONT TO MONITOR MODEL TRENDS.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A DEEP UPPER TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. AND NORTHERN
PLAINS TO BEGIN THE PERIOD. THIS UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY
AND WILL BE TO THE EAST COAST BY TUESDAY NIGHT. AN UPPER RIDGE OVER
THE WEST WEDNESDAY WILL MOVE TO THE PLAINS THURSDAY AND TO THE EAST
COAST FRIDAY.

MUCH OF THE LONG TERM FORECAST WILL BE DRY. HOWEVER TWO SYSTEMS
COULD BRING CHANCES OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION AGAIN. THE FIRST IS
MONDAY NIGHT AS A SHORT WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. THIS COULD
BRING SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN TO MAINLY CENTRAL AND SOUTH
SECTIONS. THE NEXT ROUND WOULD BE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT AS A SHORT WAVE MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH AMPLE
MOISTURE. A WINTRY MIX THURSDAY NIGHT WOULD CHANGE TO ALL RAIN
FRIDAY. A SLOW WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF SOME REINFORCING COLD AIR TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR      7  24  18  29 /  10  10  40  40
CAMDEN AR         21  33  26  34 /  10  20  50  40
HARRISON AR        3  23  16  29 /  10  10  30  30
HOT SPRINGS AR    15  27  21  32 /  10  10  40  30
LITTLE ROCK   AR  16  26  22  31 /  10  10  40  40
MONTICELLO AR     21  31  26  35 /  10  20  60  50
MOUNT IDA AR      13  27  21  32 /  10  10  30  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR   2  25  17  28 /  10  10  30  30
NEWPORT AR        11  23  19  29 /  10  10  40  50
PINE BLUFF AR     18  27  23  33 /  10  20  50  40
RUSSELLVILLE AR   10  27  22  30 /  10  10  30  20
SEARCY AR         13  24  20  30 /  10  10  40  40
STUTTGART AR      16  24  22  32 /  10  10  50  50
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM CST SATURDAY
FOR BAXTER-BOONE-CLEBURNE-FULTON-INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-
MARION-NEWTON-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN.

&&

$$


AVIATION...28