016
FXUS64 KLZK 022307
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
607 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

-Rain chances will be confined to western Arkansas the next few
 days, dry elsewhere.

-Temperatures will be warm the next few days, but near normal for
 early July.

-Unsettled weather will return next week, with occasional rain
 chances across much of the state.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

Mostly dry condtions are expected across the state the next few
days, with some rain chances in place across western Arkansas
through Friday. H500 ridging will remain in place over the area
into the weekend, but a weak disturbance is slowly moving through
the ridge. This is what could provide some precip across western
AR the next few days. Through this timeframe, temperatures will
remain near to slightly above normal for this time of year, but
heat indices will remain below advisory levels.

From late weekend into early next week, the H500 ridge is expected
to drift W/SW and expand north across the western US. This will
provide a more progressive W/NW flow at the mid-levels across
Arkansas and much of the central/southern US next week. Embedded
in the mid-level flow will be a series of disturbances that should
move across Arkansas periodically and help influence the
development of showers and thunderstorms. This will help temper
the heat somewhat and continue to limit any drought concerns
across the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 605 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

VFR conditions are expected throughout the period. There is some
uncertainty over northern Arkansas for some patchy fog to develop.
Guidance has a lower cloud forming up overnight, which would
inhibit fog, but if that cloud deck doesn`t form up then a few
hours of MVFR could be possible. Mid level clouds will move into
the area in the morning and will inhibit any fog development over
central or southern Arkansas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     70  91  71  93 /   0   0   0  10
Camden AR         74  92  73  94 /  10  20   0  10
Harrison AR       66  89  68  89 /   0  10   0  20
Hot Springs AR    75  91  73  93 /  10  20   0  20
Little Rock   AR  74  93  74  93 /   0  10   0  10
Monticello AR     75  92  74  94 /   0  20   0  10
Mount Ida AR      73  89  71  91 /  10  20   0  20
Mountain Home AR  67  89  68  90 /   0   0   0  10
Newport AR        72  92  72  93 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     74  91  73  93 /   0  10   0  10
Russellville AR   72  92  72  93 /   0  10   0  20
Searcy AR         71  92  71  93 /   0  10   0  10
Stuttgart AR      74  91  74  93 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...75