Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FXUS64 KMRX 221511 AAB
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1011 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009

.SHORT TERM...WEAK SURFACE LOW ANALYZED MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEAST IN
GULF OF MEXICO JUST OFF SOUTH ALABAMA COAST AS PER 14Z SURFACE
ANALYSIS. STEADY LARGE AREA OF SHRA/RA MOVING NORTH AND NORTHWEST
INTO THE FORECAST AREA AS OF LATEST 88-D AND IR SATELLITE IMAGES AS
OF 15Z. WILL BE ADJUSTING PRECIP AND CLOUD FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR
MOVEMENT OF PRECIP INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SOUTHEAST
AND DOWN SLOPE FLOW SHOULD LIMIT SOME OF THE SHRA/RA FROM TRI CITIES
AND INTO SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. WILL INCREASE POPS IN TYS AREA TO
OCCASIONAL AND TAPER OFF TOWARD VIRGINIA BORDER/TRI CITIES AREA.

TEMPS LOOK GENERALLY GOOD AS FAR AS THE CURRENT FORECAST IS
CONCERNED...AND WILL NOT BE MAKING MANY CHANGES OTHERWISE FOR THIS
AFTERNOON.

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             52  46  55  46  65 /  90  80  20   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  55  45  54  45  65 /  50  70  30  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       54  46  54  44  64 /  50  60  30  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              55  41  53  41  62 /  30  60  30  20  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

$$

TT






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