Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FXUS64 KMRX 300116
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
916 PM EDT MON JUN 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATING THE FORECAST THIS EVENING TO BUMP UP POPS
TO LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLATEAU AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
TN VALLEY. LINE OF CONVECTION FROM OUT OF KY AND MIDDLE TN HAS MADE
ITS WAY DOWN INTO OUR AREA. CONVECTION HAS HELD TOGETHER LONGER
THAN ANTICIPATED. WE ARE MORE STABLE COMPARED TO AREAS TO OUR WEST
BUT CURRENT SPC MESO PARAMETERS STILL SHOW ROUGHLY 1000 J/KG MLCAPE
ACROSS OUR AREA. CAPE COMBINED WITH WEAK SHEAR WILL LIKELY
MAINTAIN STORMS A LITTLE LONGER. THOUGH STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THE FURTHER WE GET INTO THE EVENING HOURS. WILL
SEND OUT NEW ZONES TO ACCOUNT FOR LIKELY POP WORDING.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             68  86  69  83 /  30  60  50  60
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  67  84  66  81 /  40  60  60  60
OAK RIDGE, TN                       67  84  67  80 /  40  60  60  60
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              64  80  62  77 /  40  60  60  60

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

SR



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