Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXUS01 KWBC 020802
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
401 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

VALID 12Z SUN AUG 2 2015 - 12Z TUE AUG 4 2015

***STORMY WEATHER FOR THE GULF COAST AND FLORIDA***

***WARM AND DRY FOR NEW ENGLAND AND MID-ATLANTIC***

***SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES***

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY ACROSS
FLORIDA AS A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE REMAIN
OVER THAT REGION.  SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER
NORTHERN FLORIDA WITH MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
STORMY CONDITIONS ARE ALSO IN THE FORECAST FOR THE COASTAL AREAS
OF NORTH CAROLINA AND EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO EASTERN GEORGIA.
FARTHER TO THE NORTH, WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL FROM THE DEEP SOUTH TO THE NORTHEAST COAST THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT.

FOR THE WESTERN U.S., SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST TO DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION IN
RESPONSE TO DAYTIME HEATING WITH MONSOONAL MOISTURE IN PLACE.
SOME OF THIS MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND EASTWARD OVER PARTS OF
THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS, WITH SCATTERED AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
LIKELY.  HEAT AND DRY WEATHER WILL ALSO BE MAKING WEATHER
HEADLINES FOR PARTS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, OREGON, AND
WASHINGTON, BUT RELIEF IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BY EARLY IN THE WEEK
AS A COLD FRONT SETTLES SOUTHWARD.

ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S., SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING FROM THE NORTHERN
GREAT PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY.  SOME OF
THESE STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE AT TIMES AND PRODUCE PERIODS
OF HEAVY RAIN.  BY MONDAY, A RELATIVELY STRONG COLD FRONT DROPPING
SOUTH BEHIND THE SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN TEMPERATURES
THAT ARE SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE FOR EARLY AUGUST ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST AND ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION.

HAMRICK


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
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