Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 011805
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
105 PM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

.AVIATION...
01/18Z-02/18Z. VFR prevail...but with a very low chance of
a shower near the far southern terminals later this
afternoon or early evening...until AFT midnight. Then MVFR
CIGS and some IFR VSBY spread in until about 14Z. BR and
Clouds begin to lift at 14Z...along with VCSH at
TPA/PIE/LAL. S and SW winds become light and variable to
calm overnight then shift to west for the end of the period.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 905 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017/

SHORT TERM (Today)...
Atlantic high pressure will ridge west across FL today with
an axis over or just north of the Tampa Bay region.
Prevailing southeasterly winds shift to south then
southwest as an afternoon sea breeze circulation sets up.
Area RAOBS at 12Z all come in with PWAT around or just below
1 inch. The bulk of this moisture is below an inversion
about 850 to 800 MB. This would generally preclude any
significant precipitation but a slightly stronger sea
breeze coverage from Lake Okeechobee south could result in
isolated-scattered showers that may impact the southeast
and inland southern counties later this afternoon into the
evening. Forecasts are all on track but will update between
9-10 AM...after the lingering late night low clouds and fog
lift.

MARINE...
High pressure ridging east to west near/just north of Tampa
Bay continues with SE winds shifting to S then SW during
the afternoon as a sea breeze circulation sets up. Next
forecast issued by 10 AM with little change.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  66  79  59  72 /   0  10  10  10
FMY  68  83  63  77 /  10  10  10  10
GIF  64  83  59  72 /  10  10  10  10
SRQ  65  77  61  74 /   0  10  10  10
BKV  62  79  54  71 /   0  20  10  10
SPG  67  78  60  72 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...09/Rude
SHORT TERM/MARINE...09/Rude


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