Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 061431
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
931 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA CANCELED...

.UPDATE...
VISIBILITIES IN FOG RANGE WERE 3 MILES OR MORE ACROSS THE AREA SO
THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WAS CANCELED A HALF HOUR EARLY.

COLD FRONT FROM FORT MYERS TO JUPITER WAS BEGINNING TO SLOW DOWN
AND WILL STALL OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS THIS EVENING. REAL PUSH OF
LOW CLOUDS IN NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE
INTERSTATE 4 CORRIDOR. CLOUDY AND COOL NORTH OF THIS AREA WHILE
AREAS TO SEE A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS AS THE LOW CLOUDS BURN
OFF. HIGH TEMPERATURES TO RANGE FROM THE MID 80S IN FORT MYERS TO
THE 70S ALONG INTERSTATE 4 AND IN THE 60S TO  THE NORTH.

RADAR SHOWED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND HEAVY DRIZZLE NORTH OF A SARASOTA
TO SEBRING LINE SO ADDED 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN IN FORECAST FOR
TODAY.

.AVIATION...
WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA WITH IFR CIGS IN TAMPA
BAY AND AREAS TO THE EAST AND NORTH. LOW CLOUDS EXPECT TO BURN OFF
IN THE FORT MYERS AREA BY AFTERNOON WITH VFR AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. MVFR CLOUDS EXPECTED ACROSS ENTIRE AREA OVERNIGHT WITH
CONDITIONS IMPROVING AFTER 13Z.

.MARINE...
WINDS TO PICKUP BEHIND COLD FRONT SO SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION
20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED IN THIS AREA OVERNIGHT. WINDS
AND SEAS RELAX SATURDAY.

.FIRE WEATHER...
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY DIPS BELOW 35 PERCENT NEAR CHEIFLAND SATURDAY BUT
FUEL MOISTURE RELATIVELY HIGH SO NO FLAG NEEDED.


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  72  55  72  59 /  20  10  10  10
FMY  82  61  79  65 /  20  10  10  10
GIF  74  55  73  59 /  20  10  10  10
SRQ  75  58  74  62 /  20   0  10  10
BKV  69  51  71  54 /  20  10  10  10
SPG  73  58  71  63 /  20   0  10  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&
$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...72/NOAH
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...11/MCKAUGHAN
DECISION SUPPORT...03/PAXTON




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