Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 280729
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
329 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.SHORT TERM (Today - Thursday)...
Troughing extends from New England southward along the eastern
seaboard. A little closer to home, a typical summer time pattern
will continue over the region. Upper level ridging extends over the
Bahamas westward through west central and southwest Florida and into
the Gulf of Mexico. This pattern will hold through the period with
very little variation through the week. On the surface, subtropical
high pressure near Bermuda ridges west-southwest over southern
Florida. A weak frontal boundary over northern Florida washes out
and dissipates as high pressure moves off the mid-Atlantic coast by
Wednesday evening. This will keep a general east-northeast through
southeast wind flow over the region through the week. Rain chances
will be typical for the summer time with 40-60 POPs each day through
the week, with the highest coverage over the interior counties.
Temperatures will remain near seasonal averages with upper 80`s to
low 90`s during the day and overnight lows in the mid 70`s.

&&

.Long Term (Thursday Night-Tuesday)...
Weak ridging will be in place aloft through the period. Weak surface
high pressure will also ridge across the area from the Atlantic
through the period. Light generally SE predominant flow will give
way to a sea breeze each afternoon and evening with scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms developing along the boundary.
Temperatures will be near normal through the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will continue through the night. Winds will remain
out of the east-southeast less than 5 knots overnight with a sea
breeze setting up during the afternoon producing an onshore flow.
Very similiar to yesterday, VCTS will be possible after 18Z at all
terminals. No other aviation impacts expected.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure will remain fixed over the waters through the week and
into the weekend with light winds and favorable boating conditions.
Isolated marine thunderstorms will be possible each day from the
late afternoon through overnight and early morning hours. These
storms may produce locally gusty winds and increased seas, but
otherwise, no widespread marine impacts are expected.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
No fire weather concerns for the next several days as relative
humidity values will remain above critical levels. No significant
fog is expected for the next few days.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  90  77  91  77 /  50  40  40  20
FMY  92  75  91  75 /  40  30  40  30
GIF  91  74  93  75 /  60  30  50  30
SRQ  89  75  90  77 /  30  20  30  20
BKV  90  73  91  74 /  50  40  50  20
SPG  90  78  91  79 /  30  30  30  20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...74/Wynn
LONG TERM/DECISION SUPPORT...24/Hubbard


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