Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
FXUS65 KLKN 292043
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
143 PM PDT SUN MAY 29 2016
.SYNOPSIS...Look for isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms to continue into the early evening hours. Drier
conditions will move in for Monday, with isolated thunderstorms
confined to east-central Nevada. Warmer temperatures Tuesday with
highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Temperatures will continue to
rise through the end of next week with highs in the 80s to low
.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Tuesday. Convective activity has
started in earnest across northeast and central Nevada this
afternoon. Storm motion is towards the northeast and speeds are
around 10 mph. Look for the convection to wane slowly during the
evening hours, although the latest HRRR run is showing a line of
showers moving across eastern Elko and White Pine counties later
this evening to just after midnight. Overnight lows will be in the
mid 40s to low 50s.
Monday and Monday night, all models are showing rising heights
during this time period. The last vestiges of moisture and
instability are expected tore side across the southeastern and
east-central portions of the forecast area, and so have left
isolated showers and thunderstorms in for White Pine County. Other
locations will see mainly sunny skies and afternoon temperatures
will increase to the mid 60s well to the north to the low 80s
degrees in the central. Skies are expected to remain clear during
the overnight as the upper level ridge continues to build. Look
for overnight lows in the mid 30s in the north to the upper 40s in
the central. Winds will remain light.
The upper level ridge will continue to build on Tuesday. Skies
will be mostly sunny and temperatures will warm into the mid 70s
to mid 80s. Winds will remain light.
.LONG TERM...Tuesday night through Sunday. A strong ridge of high
pressure will bring dry conditions along with much above normal
temperatures. Highs in the mid 70s to the mid 80s on Wednesday will
warm into the 80s to the lower 90s Friday through Sunday.
Precipitation is expected to be close to nil at virtually every
place in the forecast area.
.AVIATION...Isolated thunderstorms will occur between roughly 00Z
and 03Z generally east of a line from Owyhee to Austin to Round
Mountain. The highest probability will be east of a line from
Jackpot to Ely. Wind gusts from storms could reach 35 to 40 knots
briefly. Isolated mountain obscuration will occur around KELY with
an outside chance of it around KEKO. Convection tapers off after
sunset Sunday. Monday afternoon thunderstorms will form much further
southeast over mainly White Pine County and northeast Nye County.