Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 201017
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
317 AM PDT SUN APR 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE
TODAY...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN WHITE PINE
COUNTY. BY MONDAY...WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL BE PREVALENT OUT
AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM...WITH WINDY...COOLER...AND WETTER
CONDITIONS SET FOR TUESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. DRY WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
TODAY...THE EXCEPTION BEING SOUTHERN WHITE PINE COUNTY WHERE
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.
INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ON MONDAY AS A TROUGH
APPROACHES THE WEST COAST...RESULTING IN A NEARLY 10 DEGREE WARM-UP
FOR MOST LOCATIONS. WEAK INSTABILITY OVER PORTIONS OF ELKO COUNTY
SHOULD LEAD TO AFTERNOON CUMULUS BUILD-UPS ALONG WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE RUBY AND JARBIDGE MOUNTAIN AREAS.
TROUGH MOVES OVER THE GREAT BASIN ON TUESDAY BRINGING MUCH COLDER
AIR...NEARLY A 20 DEGREE DROP IN HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM MONDAY.
WINDS INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY ON TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER EAST-
CENTRAL NEVADA WHERE ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. IMPACTS
FROM THE TROUGH OVER NORTHERN NEVADA WILL BE SEEN MORE WITH
PRECIPITATION...WITH THE POTENTIAL ONE TO THREE TENTHS OF AN INCH
OF RAIN ACROSS FAVORED LOCATIONS OF HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. UPPER TROUGH WILL BEGIN
TO EXIT THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SOME LINGERING SHOWERS OVER
THE NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY. DIRTY RIDGE OVER THE AREA THURSDAY WILL
ALLOW FOR A FEW SHOWERS NEAR THE OREGON/ID BORDER. NEXT UPPER TROUGH
WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA FRIDAY WITH SHOWERS MAINLY CONFINED TO
NORTHERN NV. SHOWERS WILL SPREAD INTO CENTRAL NV SATURDAY AS TROUGH
DIGS FURTHER SOUTH.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS. SOME LINGERING MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY NEAR KELY COULD PRODUCE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
OVER THE NEARBY MOUNTAINS.


&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

96/91/91





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