Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47

359
FXUS65 KLKN 061228
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
428 AM PST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...LOOK FOR STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO KEEP THE WEATHER
QUIET AND DRY FOR THE NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES IN THE AFTERNOON
WILL GRADUALLY WARM TO AT OR ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY MID- WEEK AT
ALL LOCATIONS.

&&

.UPDATE...ADDED FREEZING FOG TO THE GRIDS FOR SOUTHWEST ELKO AND
NORTHERN LANDER/EUREKA COUNTIES FOR THIS MORNING. GRIDS AND TEXT
PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT.

.UPDATE AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FREEZING FOG IS TRYING TO DEVELOP ACROSS KEKO
AIRPORT AND HAVE INCLUDED VCFG IN THE KEKO TAF UNTIL 17Z THIS
MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 232 AM /

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. MID AND HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS ARE
NOTED ON SATELLITE MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS
MORNING. A STORM SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS WASHINGTON STATE AND IDAHO
AT THIS TIME IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THESE CLOUDS. THERE ARE NO IMPACTS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THE FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN DRY.
THERE ARE SOME LOW CLOUDS/FREEZING FOG ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
ELKO COUNTY AND SOUTHERN LANDER/EUREKA COUNTY THIS MORNING AND
HAVE INCLUDED PATCHY FREEZING FOG FOR THESE AREAS THIS MORNING.

TODAY AND TONIGHT...UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING OUT IN THE EAST PACIFIC
WILL BE BUILDING ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY. THIS
WILL RESULT IN MAINLY SUNNY SKIES WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS POSSIBLE.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOW 30S TO LOW 40S. HAVE FOLLOWED PREVIOUS
SHIFTS AND WENT WITH THE COOLER GUIDANCE AS DEEP SNOWPACK OVER THE
AREA WILL HELP TO KEEP AFTERNOON HIGHS DOWN. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT. QUIET CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY FOR PATCHY FREEZING FOG TONIGHT...BUT CONFIDENCE IS
LOW AT THIS TIME SO DID NOT INCLUDE THIS IN THE FORECAST.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW 20S. THERE
COULD BE A BELOW ZERO READING IN ONE OF THE NORMALLY COLDER
LOCALES LIKE WILDHORSE.

SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO
STRENGTHEN ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA AT THIS TIME. 500MB HEIGHTS WILL
PEAK AT 586 DKM ON MONDAY. KEPT THE HIGHS FROM GOING TOO HIGH GIVEN
THE SNOWPACK...AND FOR THESE LOCATIONS WENT FOR HIGHS IN THE
MIDDLE 30S TO NEAR 40. FOR THOSE AREAS WITHOUT
SNOWPACK...TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB INTO THE MID 40S TO MAYBE EVEN
THE LOW 50S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL AGAIN BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO
LOW 20S. THERE COULD BE PATCHY FREEZING FOG ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA...AND THIS WILL DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF MELTING
OCCURRING. WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT DURING THE PERIOD.

LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY. HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
OVER THE WESTERN U.S. SLOWLY BREAKS DOWN DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. SHOULD SEE SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS RIDING OVER THE WEAKENING
RIDGE WITH CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK SNOW MELT WILL
INCREASE. THE ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN SOME
PATCHY FREEZING FOG NEXT WEEK. FOR NOW HELD OFF ON ADDING FOG TO THE
FORECAST AS CONFIDENCE IS RELATIVELY LOW THIS FAR OUT. BEST CHANCES
FOR FOG ACROSS ELKO COUNTY WOULD LIKELY BE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
MORNINGS AS THE PREVIOUS DAY HIGH TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE 40
DEGREES...RESULTING IN INCREASED MELTING OF SNOW. TROUGH ENERGY
MOVES IN ALONG THE WEST COAST NEXT FRIDAY...WITH A POSSIBLE RETURN
OF VALLEY RAINS AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TO WESTERN HUMBOLDT COUNTY FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

86/96



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.