Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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000
FXUS65 KLKN 282100
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 PM PDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...WARMING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
RETURN TO CENTRAL NEVADA ON FRIDAY...THEN EXPAND UP INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA SATURDAY. STORMS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY...WITH MORE
MODERATE RAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA. SCATTERED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED NEXT MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
MODERATE RAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. SUNNY AND DRY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH CLEAR SKIES THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS BEGINNING TO
BUILD IN OVER NEVADA...WHICH IS RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND.
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST
NIGHT...YET STILL A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL. MOST OF THE REGION WILL
BE SUNNY AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER WEAK INSTABILITY AND A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL MOISTURE OVER CENTRAL NEVADA WILL
LEAD TO INCREASED CLOUDS. NO STORMS OR SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY. MID-
LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ADVECT UP INTO CENTRAL NEVADA
THURSDAY ALONG THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE BUILDING RIDGE. SHOULD SEE
SCATTERED TO POSSIBLY BROKEN SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA BY LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A FEW CLOUDS REACHING INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA. AIR MASS WILL REMAIN A LITTLE TOO STABLE FOR ANY STORMS TO
DEVELOP ON THURSDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY WILL WARM INTO THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE...PUSHING TEMPS BACK
ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH THERE MAY
BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AVAILABLE TO TRIGGER SOME THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN
STRENGTH OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CONUS AND PRODUCE A MOIST FLOW
OVER THE SIERRA-NEVADA RANGE. A FEW DRY VARIETY THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED MAINLY TO AREAS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ATTEMPT
TO CENTRALIZE NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS AREA OF THE COUNTRY TO PROVIDE A
MORE FAVORABLE MONSOON FLOW ACROSS THE LKN CWFA. THE MOIST FLOW WILL
STILL FAVOR CENTRAL NEVADA HOWEVER MOISTURE WILL PUSH NORTH AND WEST
AS THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO MORE WETTING TYPE STORMS.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SEEK AN IDEAL
LOCATION NEAR THE 4-CORNERS AREA AND THE MONSOON FLOW WILL SURGE
NORTHWARD. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD TO ALL PARTS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KWMC KEKO KELY AND KTPH
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
NEVADA ON FRIDAY. BEST CHANCE FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES FRIDAY
WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN 457 AND SOUTHWESTERN 454...WITH LITTLE IF
ANY ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL ZONES SATURDAY...THOUGH FOR NOW CENTRAL NEVADA
ZONES LOOKING MORE FAVORABLE. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INCREASE
ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA ZONES SUNDAY WITH STORMS TRANSITIONING TO
WET. AIR MASS CONTINUES TO MOISTEN UP EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
DRIER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO SPREAD IN FROM WEST
TO EAST NEXT THURSDAY...WITH MOST STORMS CONFINED TO EASTERN
NEVADA ZONES.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

96/92/92/96



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