Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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FXUS65 KREV 260904
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
204 AM PDT THU MAY 26 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Shower chances decrease today with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms returning Friday and Saturday. A warming trend is
expected into the holiday weekend. Dry conditions return next week
with above average temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

Isolated showers will be confined to the Sierra today as a drier
and more stable airmass aloft works into western NV. Model
soundings in the Sierra indicate less instability than Wednesday
and thunder potential will be much less as a result. For Friday
and Saturday, a weak trough will develop with cooling aloft and
increasing instability mainly along the Sierra and south of Hwy
50. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will favor
these areas with less coverage or no thunderstorms farther north.
Temperatures will warm to near seasonal levels with 60s Sierra and
70s western NV valleys. Hohmann

.LONG TERM...Memorial Day weekend into early June...

Latest simulations continue to produce a ridge over the west coast
for the second half of the Memorial Day weekend. This will lead to
afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s for the valleys with 70s
in the Sierra. Afternoon winds will be a bit breezy on Sunday, gusts
25-30 mph, so those heading out to the lakes should use caution.

For the first few days of June, high pressure will remain over the
west with afternoon high climbing well into the 80s for the valleys
with 70s to near 80 in the Sierra. There could be an increase in
winds on June 2nd and 3rd as models develop a strong jet over the
Pacific and try to push a trough toward the west coast. Brong

&&

.AVIATION...

Chance of showers and thunderstorms continues to diminish today with
best chance (15-20%) along the Sierra Crest south of I-80. Small
hail and brief moderate to heavy rain are the main threats.

The Memorial day weekend is looking dry and warm with minimal if any
threat for convection.  Afternoon winds may be a bit breezy on
Sunday, though peak gusts should remain below 25-30 kts. Brong

&&


.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/reno


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