Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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FXUS65 KREV 232300
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
300 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS TREND WARMER TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY
MID-WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PACIFIC BUILDS INTO NORTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA. THE NEXT CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION
WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

NO MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE NECESSARY TO THE EXISTING FORECAST WHICH
DEPICTS BENIGN CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH MID-WEEK INTO THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN FIRMLY IN PLACE
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES SHUNTING THE STORM TRACK INTO
THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO WARM EACH DAY WITH
VALLEY INVERSIONS FOR WESTERN NEVADA. THE INVERSIONS WILL KEEP
HIGHS SIMILAR BETWEEN THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA WITH SOME
SIERRA LOCATIONS POTENTIALLY WARMER THAN NEVADA. HIGHS INCREASE
FROM THE LOW/MID 50S TOMORROW TO THE LOW/MID 60S BY WEDNESDAY. BOYD

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

RIDGING ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WILL DECREASE AS AN UPPER LOW
APPROACHES THE WEST COAST NEXT WEEK. EXPECTING MILD CONDITIONS ON
THANKSGIVING DAY WITH HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING ACROSS THE SIERRA AND
WESTERN NEVADA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH INTO THE UPPER 50S TO
NEAR 60 AREA WIDE ONE THURSDAY BEFORE A COOLING TREND COMMENCES FOR
NEXT WEEKEND AS THE LOW PUSHES ALONG THE WEST COAST.

MODEL GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN DEVELOPING THIS LOW OFF THE
COAST BUT HAVE LOWER AGREEMENT IN PRECIPITATION TIMING AND AMOUNTS
AS THE LOW SHEDS WEAKER SHORTWAVE IMPULSES ACROSS THE SIERRA. LATEST
MODELS DIRECT A BROAD SWATH OF 0.75-1.0" MOISTURE PLUME ACROSS
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA EARLY SATURDAY WITH PRECIPITATION PERSISTING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODELS HAVE TRENDED WETTER WITH SOME SHOWING
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT 2 DAY LIQUID ACCUMULATIONS BY THE END OF
NEXT WEEKEND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF
VARIABILITY IN LIQUID AMOUNTS, TIMING, AND TEMPERATURES SO WON`T
SPECULATE ON PRECIPITATION RANGES YET, BUT HAVE TRENDED FORECASTED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES UPWARDS MAINLY ALONG THE SIERRA SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. FUENTES

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS THRU MONDAY.
AREAS OF FZFG POSSIBLE AT KTRK AS HIGH CLOUD COVER DIMINISHES
OVERNIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH
THANKSGIVING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE WEST. FUENTES

&&


.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)





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