Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 200050
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
750 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

.UPDATE (Tonight)...
The cold front has pushed through central Florida and is now located
over southwest Florida. The front will continue to move southeast
through the night as high pressure tot he northwest builds over the
southeast U.S. Radar as well as surface observations are showing rain-
free conditions region wide. Temperatures on the north side of this
front are already cooling down significantly. Temperatures along the
Nature Coast are already in the low to mid 50`s, low to mid 60`s near
Tampa Bay and low 70`s over southwest Florida. Temps are expected to
continue to drop overnight with low dipping in the low 40`s along
the Nature Coast, low 50`s near Tampa and near 60 over southwest
Florida. Temps will be cooler over the inland areas and slightly
warmer along the coastal region. Sunny and breezy conditions can be
expected on Monday to start the work week. No changes needed to the
forecast at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected at all terminals over night. Some
lingering clouds can be expected at PGD/FMY/RSW overnight, otherwise
the other terminals should be clear overnight. The only aviation
impact will be gusty north-northeast winds overnight, then veering
to the east-northeast on Monday. No other impacts expected.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds will continue to increase as the gradient tightens between a
frontal boundary over southern Florida and high pressure to the
northwest. A small craft advisory is in effect until 12Z Monday
morning. High pressure builds in, then tracks to the eastern
seaboard with winds diminishing Monday night and Tuesday. The front
which had stalled south of the Florida Keys lifts back across the
state during midweek with a possible low forming on the Gulf
portion.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  53  76  64  75 /   0   0  20  70
FMY  61  79  65  80 /   0  10  20  50
GIF  52  76  61  76 /   0   0  20  70
SRQ  55  78  63  76 /   0   0  30  60
BKV  45  75  58  75 /   0   0  20  70
SPG  57  74  63  75 /   0   0  30  70

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for Coastal
     waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL
     out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to
     Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-Waters
     from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-
     Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to
     60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL
     out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...74/Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT...11/McKaughan


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