Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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000
FXUS65 KLKN 312056
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
156 PM PDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure building in over Nevada will result in
mostly sunny skies and warming temperatures through the weekend.
Some snowmelt will occur in mountains and could result in rising
creeks.


&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday. Ridge building into the
Great Basin will allow temps to remain above normal. Lower valleys
could hit 90 or so...such as Winnemucca and West Wendover. A
little weakness in the ridge on the west side may bring some
towering cumulus to western Humboldt County Wednesday and
Thursday. Virga is possible with some gusty winds and localized
blowing dust but in a very limited area in far northwestern areas.

.LONG TERM...Thursday night through next Tuesday. Ridge continues
over the basin but a closed low offshore begins to intrude late in
the period. Moisture will remain very limited except sufficient
along the western borders of the area where isolated mainly dry
thunderstorms will be enabled in the afternoons. Temps warm
dramatically with 80s likely in most valleys and 90s to MID 90s
possible in lower valleys by the weekend. Addition of clouds and
passage of weak front first of next week provides a bit of
cooling...as much as 10-15 degrees from previous highs.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR at KWMC/KEKO/KELY/KTPH through the period. Mostly
clear skies with outstanding visibility. Generally light winds in
an upslope/down valley pattern. One thing to watch out for is
increasing density altitudes at all sites.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Generally light winds through Thursday with
increasing temps and decreasing RH. Mostly sunny. Outlook for late
in the week to the weekend: a weak system offshore will approach
western Nevada and zone 467 may see some cumulus buildups or even
isolated virga by Wednesday afternoon and then some isolated
mostly dry thunder by Friday. MUCH above temps on the weekend with
many lower valleys in the 90s. Min RH values on Saturday single
digits most areas.


&&

.HYDROLOGY...Warm temps and ample snowpack in the Rubies will
bring Lamoille Creek to near flood stage Thursday evening. It has
been peaking around 9 pm each evening with a steady increase in
peak stage each night.

Other creeks originating in snowpacked terrain will see rises,
too, but not as dramatic. Keep an eye on rising waters,
nevertheless.


&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

98/98/98/98



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