Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 240924

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
224 AM PDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...A  ridge of high pressure will provide clear skies
early this weekend with increasing hot temperatures through
Monday. High and mid- level moisture associated with a Pacific
trough could trigger an isolated dry- type thunderstorm in central
Nevada as early as Sunday evening. A few more dry thunderstorms
are likely mainly across northeastern Nevada on Monday before
temperatures cool down to more comfortable levels for the
remainder of next week.


.SHORT TERM...Today through Sunday.
Upper ridge remains strong over the Great Basin which will
continue the hot dry weather for Nevada. Expect mostly sunny skies
for the weekend. The exception to this may be on Sunday when a
little mid level moisture may intrude into the central and
northwestern portions of the CWA. This may cause some cumulus
builds and possibly a high based thunderstorm or two. Hot
temperatures persist with highs expected in the 90s to 100s with
lows in the 50s to 60s.

.LONG TERM...Sunday night through next Friday. Southwest flow
aloft Monday brings a return of isolated thunderstorms to
northern NV with continued above normal temperatures. Broad
trough energy pushing through the Pacific NW on Tuesday will
result in some clouds over northern NV, however latest guidance
reduced available moisture and as such, any chance for TS. Cooler
temperatures Tuesday, though still above normal. Warm and dry
Wednesday and Thursday with near-zonal flow over the region.


.AVIATION...VFR conditions continue today across the region. Expect
sunny skies and in general, a light northerly wind.


.FIRE WEATHER...Above to much above normal temperatures will
continue over the weekend through early next week. Afternoon highs
will climb back up into the 90s to lower 100s in many of the low
valleys Sunday and Monday. Daytime minimum RHs will remain low (5%
to 15%) and overnight recoveries will be on a downward trend.
Diurnal afternoon and evening winds will remain below critical
stages on Saturday and Sunday, but southwest winds may approach 30
mph gusts in some areas on Monday. High and mid-level moisture
will overspread Nevada Sunday into Monday as a Pacific trough
approaches from the west. This moisture return combined with weak
instability could trigger an isolated dry thunderstorm or two as
early as Sunday late afternoon/evening across the mountainous
areas of central Nevada with a little better chance of a few more
dry thunderstorms developing Monday afternoon/evening across the
northeastern third of the state.


.HYDROLOGY...Flooding has now abated but elevated flows will
continue on many rivers and creeks for the foreseeable future.




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