Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 230913

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
213 AM PDT Sat Jul 23 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and hot conditions will persist across the state
through the weekend and well into next week. High temperatures
will slowly climb through the middle of next week as high pressure
builds over the region with upper 90s and lower 100s for highs in
valley locations. Winds will be relatively light through the next
few days from the west-southwest.


.SHORT TERM...A typical late July pattern of dry and hot
conditions will continue through the weekend. Very dry airmass
remains over the Great Basin as evidenced by regional soundings
compared to Thursday. A weak upper-level disturbance will have
virtually no impact across the state as moisture and instability
will be lacking. Significant monsoon moisture could make a
comeback by the end of next week. High temperatures could approach
heat advisory thresholds as early as Tuesday across central and
northern Nevada. Highs will be in the upper 90s and lower 100s in
many valleys across the state.

.LONG TERM...Sunday night through next Friday. Model agreement is
pretty good and a mostly dry weather pattern is expected. High
pressure will remain positioned just east of the 4-corners area of
the country through Monday afternoon and moisture should mainly
stay east of the LKN CWFA. By Monday night a low pressure area
will lift north of the state and possibly draw some moisture into
eastern White Pine County. GFS is showing some precipitation
around the Ely area overnight monday into Tuesday morning. Other
models are keeping it dry so will just have some increased
cloudiness in the forecast for now. Mean high pressure will spread
across southern Nevada beginning Tuesday afternoon and
temperatures will once again climb towards the 100 degree mark.


.AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected at KWMC KEKO KELY and
KTPH through Sunday morning.


Very low daytime relative humidities will exist for the next few
Days across Nevada with poor nighttime recoveries across many
Locations. However....Winds will remain rather light today
picking up some across fire zones 457 and 455 Sunday afternoon
but remaining below critical fire weather thresholds. Atmospheric
moisture is expected to increase late next week which may aid in
dry thunderstorm development across southern and central parts of
the state.




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