Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 152248
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
248 PM PST Fri Dec 15 2017

.SYNOPSIS...A storm system will move across northern and central Nevada
tonight and Saturday bringing light snow and colder temperatures
along with gusty winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Monday. Cold front will push into
Humboldt county later this evening than sweep eastward into
eastern and central NV late tonight and Saturday morning. Fast
moving system and lack of moisture will limit snowfall amounts
with valleys mostly seeing less than 1 inch. Gusty northwest winds
will accompany the front. The post frontal wind prone areas of
northern Nye county will see northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph with
gusts to 50 mph, therefore a Wind Advisory has been posted for
that area from 7 am to 10 pm Saturday. Cold air behind the front
will keep high temps Saturday mostly in the upper 20s and 30s.
Snow will mostly have ended by Saturday evening then dry Sunday
and Monday as a ridge of high pressure builds into the region.

.LONG TERM...Monday night through next Friday.

Northwest flow will be in place at the start of the long term
period.

The flow will turn more westerly on Tuesday as the next cold
front approaches. Models remain in pretty good sync with this
front. One difference compared to 24 hours ago is that the models
are bringing the system through a bit earlier, beginning earlier
in the morning Wednesday in northwest Nevada and then moving it
across the state on Wednesday, along with a period of light snow.
One main change made to the forecast from the previous package was
an increase to snow amounts. This system looks to be colder than
the clipper system moving through this weekend. As such the snow
ratios will be higher and have upped the amounts across northern
Nevada. Now thinking northern Nevada valleys could see amounts
nearing 2" with high elevations reaching 3-5". Some stronger west
winds possible staying ahead of the front on Wednesday, mainly in
higher elevations, though looking sub advisory at this time.

After some leftover snow showers on Wednesday night, a cold
northerly flow will set up for Thursday. Near normal temperatures
at the start of the long term will warm a little above normal by
Tuesday in the westerly flow only to drop back down near normal
with the frontal passage.

&&

.AVIATION...A cold front will approach the region from the
northwest late tonight bringing a band of thicker high and mid-
level cloudiness along with the chance of a few brief snow showers
to KWMC, KEKO, and KELY late tonight into early Saturday morning.
MVFR CIGS and VIS likely with these showers and possible very
temporary IFR conditions.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 7 AM to 10 PM PST Saturday for Northeastern
Nye County-Northwestern Nye County.

&&

$$

91/89/89


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