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000
FNUS22 KWNS 021620
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1019 AM CST MON MAR 02 2015

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

NO CHANGES...SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW.

..DEAN.. 03/02/2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST MON MAR 02 2015/

...SYNOPSIS...
AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL ROCKIES AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
D2/TUE PERIOD MOVES NEWD...BROAD...POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGHING
SHOULD BECOME ESTABLISHED FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO THE DESERT SW. THIS
LONGWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS SLOWLY EWD THROUGH THE
PERIOD AS MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATE THROUGH IT. AT
THE SFC...A LOW-PRESSURE AREA INITIALLY OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS SHOULD
MOVE QUICKLY NEWD AHEAD OF A LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH BY TUE
EVENING...LEAVING A REMNANT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS. HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
MOVING NEWD TO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL BUILD SWD ACROSS THE
NRN/CNTRL PLAINS...INCREASING THE SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS MUCH
OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.

STRONG/GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WINDS APPEAR PROBABLE TUE AFTERNOON ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CNTRL/ERN NM AND WRN TX IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND MODERATELY ENHANCED FLOW AT LOW TO MIDLEVELS.
HOWEVER...EVEN WITH DOWNSLOPE WLY WINDS...TEMPERATURES MAY NOT WARM
SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO LINGERING CLOUDINESS AND ANTECEDENT
PRECIPITATION. A MARGINAL REDUCTION IN RH VALUES SHOULD OCCUR TUE
AFTERNOON...BUT THEY SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. WITH
FUELS ALSO REMAINING MOIST/UNRECEPTIVE...NO ELEVATED AREA HAS BEEN
INTRODUCED FOR ANY PORTION OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS FOR D2/TUE.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...