Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS22 KWNS 311807
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0106 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

...GA/FL...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL EXIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL AND ERN FL PENINSULA ON SATURDAY. WITH ANOMALOUSLY STRONG
LOWER-TROPOSPHERIC FLOW PRESENT AND A DRY POST-FRONTAL AIR
MASS...BREEZY CONDITIONS AND LOW RH VALUES WILL BE REALIZED ACROSS
THE ELEVATED AREA. IN FACT...CRITICAL RH/WINDS APPEAR LIKELY FOR
SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...THE UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR MASS AND LACK OF
WIDESPREAD DRY FUELS PRECLUDE A CRITICAL DELINEATION AT THIS TIME.

LOW RH / STRONG WINDS WILL BE REALIZED ACROSS LOCATIONS OUTSIDE THE
ELEVATED AREA...PRIMARILY PORTIONS OF NERN FL AND SRN GA. WHILE
FUELS ARE MORE FAVORABLE HERE...EVEN COOLER CONDITIONS PRECLUDE AN
EXTENSION OF THE ELEVATED DELINEATION THIS FAR NORTH.
HOWEVER...LATER FORECASTS COULD DO SO IF SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS /
LOWER RH VALUES APPEAR MORE LIKELY. TO THE SOUTH OF THE ELEVATED
AREA /LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND TO THE SOUTH/...THE DURATION OF ENHANCED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY APPEARS TOO SHORT FOR INCLUSION
AT THIS TIME.

..PICCA/MOSIER.. 10/31/2014

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0328 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014/

...SYNOPSIS...
AMPLIFIED MID-/UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN...CHARACTERIZED BY CENTRAL UNITED
STATES RIDGE FLANKED BY TROUGHS ON EITHER SIDE...WILL SLOWLY MOVE
EAST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE...COLD CANADIAN
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE MOST AREAS EAST OF THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS AND WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS. EAST OF THE
APPALACHIANS...COOL...WET...AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY AS
A COASTAL LOW DEVELOPS AND LIFTS NORTHWARD ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST. ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES...COOLER/WETTER CONDITIONS
ACCOMPANYING THE WESTERN UNITED STATES TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD EAST...MOVING INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GREAT BASIN.

NEAR CRITICALLY-TO-CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE-HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST IN THE WAKE OF THE
DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW. HOWEVER...SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
BELOW NORMAL...MITIGATING THE OVERALL LARGE-SCALE FIRE-WEATHER
THREAT.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...




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