Tropical Weather Discussion
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000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240905
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Fri Mar 24 2017

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.

...DISCUSSION...

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

In the Gulf of Tehuantepec, nocturnal drainage flow will support
a last pulse of fresh to strong northerly winds this morning,
with max seas to 7 ft. Model guidance indicates low pressure in
Texas will strengthen SE flow in the western Gulf of Mexico and
limit the potential for any gap wind event through the weekend.

Elsewhere, a dissipating cold front is moving past the southern
tip of the Baja Peninsula. High pressure building behind the
front will support fresh to strong NW winds in the central and
southern Gulf of California this morning. Winds and seas will
diminish across the area today as the gradient relaxes.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

High pressure will prevail across the NW Caribbean and Gulf of
Mexico will support fresh to strong gap winds across the Gulf of
Papagayo through early Saturday with seas to 8 ft. Nocturnal
winds will pulse to a fresh breeze thereafter. Elsewhere, light
to gentle winds and combined seas of 3-5 ft are expected the
next several days except in the Gulf of Panama, where they will
pulse to a fresh breeze through the weekend.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front reaching the far NW portion of the discussion area
later this morning will be followed by a new round of NW swell.
Yet another cold front expected to arrive by Sunday afternoon
will move across the northern waters through early next week.

Farther south, combined seas in the 8-10 ft range cover the
waters along and north of the ITCZ where fresh to locally strong
trades are located south of a ridge of high pressure centered
near 28N125W.

$$
Mundell



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