National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47
000
FXUS64 KAMA 070925
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
325 AM CST SAT DEC 7 2013

.DISCUSSION...
WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE THIS
MORNING UNTIL ABOUT NOON AS SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASE THIS MORNING.
THE WIND WILL ONLY SLOWLY RAMP UP THIS MORNING...SO IT WILL BE A
CLOSE CALL ON THE WIND CHILLS.

TEMPERATURES WILL NOT RECOVER MUCH OFF OF THIS MORNING/S LOWS AS
LOW CLOUDS SHOULD PREVENT MUCH SUNSHINE FROM GETTING THROUGH
TODAY. THERE MAY BE SOME FLURRIES AROUND TODAY AS SOME VERY WEAK
LIFT IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
AGAIN...IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH TO PRODUCE FLURRIES IN THIS ARCTIC
AIR MASS.

WARM AIR ADVECTION BEGINS TONIGHT AS A SURFACE LOW DEEPENS OVER
EASTERN COLORADO AND A SURFACE TROUGH STRENGTHENS ACROSS EASTERN
NEW MEXICO. THIS SPELLS DOWNSLOPE SOUTHWEST STARTING TONIGHT. THESE
WINDS MAY ACTUALLY MAKE TEMPERATURES RISE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

ON SUNDAY TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM INTO THE 30S AND 40S AS THE
SURFACE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS AND WE GET GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS.

THE NEXT ARCTIC COLD FRONT THEN MOVES SOUTH ACROSS THE PANHANDLES
LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING.

THERE IS SOME INDICATION ON THE GFS MODEL THAT THERE COULD BE SOME
UPPER LEVEL JET ENHANCED LIGHT SNOW BANDS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CWA
MONDAY IN THE ARCTIC AIR. FOR NOW WILL LEAVE THE FORECAST DRY AS
THE GFS SEEMS TO BE THE OUTLIER RIGHT NOW. BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SOME LIGHT SNOW AGAIN.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL THEN MODERATE BACK INTO THE 40S TUESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE WINDS DO PICK UP ON SUNDAY...BUT AFTERNOON
LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 20
PERCENT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                15  12  42  11  22 /  10   5   5   0   5
BEAVER OK                  16  12  33   8  22 /  10  10   5   0   5
BOISE CITY OK              17  13  31   5  18 /  10  10   5   5   5
BORGER TX                  22  14  44  14  24 /  10   5   5   0   5
BOYS RANCH TX              19  19  46  14  22 /  10   5   5   0   5
CANYON TX                  16  14  43  13  25 /  10   5   5   0   5
CLARENDON TX               16  12  41  15  26 /  10   5   5   0   5
DALHART TX                 17  15  40   8  21 /  10   5   5   5   5
GUYMON OK                  17  12  33   7  22 /  10   5   5   0   5
HEREFORD TX                18  16  45  14  26 /  10   5   5   0   5
LIPSCOMB TX                18  13  39  10  23 /  10   5   5   0   5
PAMPA TX                   14  12  37  11  22 /  10   5   5   0   5
SHAMROCK TX                19  14  37  14  29 /  10   5   5   0   5
WELLINGTON TX              19  14  38  15  30 /  10   5   5   0   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...HARTLEY...MOORE...OLDHAM...
     POTTER...RANDALL...SHERMAN.

OK...WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CIMARRON...TEXAS.


&&

$$

19/15
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
