Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 222041
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
341 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Monday Night)...

Cold front has pushed through the CWA with clearing skies and cooler
temps in its wake. Winds briefly gusted behind the bdry, especially
over the coastal waters, but have since decreased. Am expecting as
CAA continues tonight, winds will restrengthen to advisory levels
across the waters. Therefore, will keep the Small Craft Advisory in
place. Winds are expected to be at borderline advisory levels Mon
morning, but kept the SCA for offshore waters through mid morning as
seas may take longer to subside. Min temps tonight and Mon night
will be quite cool in the 50s across much of S TX. Highs Mon will be
in the 80s but with low humidity resulting in a pleasant sunny day.

&&

.LONG TERM (Tuesday through Sunday)...

The long term part of the forecast will begin with trough axis
located northeast of the area with a reinforcing surge of high
pressure building across the state. Northerly to northeasterly winds
will again increase to SCA levels behind this reinforcing front. A
chilly night is expected Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning
with clear skies and calm/light winds. Lows will fall into the
middle and upper 40s across the northern zones with 50s elsewhere
for inland locations. High pressure then slides off to the east on
Thursday with onshore flow returning. This will allow for moderating
temperatures back to near seasonal normals (low/mid 80s). Latest
models are in decent agreement in bringing the next cold front
through South Texas on Friday. Enough moisture may exist for showers
and a few storms along and just ahead of the front Friday. SCA
conditions will likely accompany the late week front as well with
winds and seas increasing Friday night into Saturday. Much cooler
air will then filter into the area on Saturday with highs only in
the lower to middle 70s. Some lingering showers and storms could
occur Friday night and Saturday depending on how fast trough axis
swings through South Texas and will keep low pops in the forecast
for now. Skies should then clear out Saturday night into Sunday
morning, leading to low temperatures 40s over much of the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    57  84  56  81  51  /   0   0   0   0   0
Victoria          50  83  53  79  45  /   0   0   0   0   0
Laredo            58  84  58  83  54  /   0   0   0   0   0
Alice             54  85  54  83  50  /   0   0   0   0   0
Rockport          58  82  58  81  55  /   0   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           53  84  54  81  49  /   0   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        57  84  55  85  50  /   0   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       63  83  62  84  60  /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Monday For the following
     zones: Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out
     20 NM...Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship
     Channel out 20 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until noon CDT Monday For the following
     zones: Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to 60
     NM...Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel
     from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

TE/81...SHORT TERM
TB/78...LONG TERM



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