Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 271107
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
607 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...SEE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW FOR THE 12Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE REGION WILL MAINTAIN VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
GENERALLY OFFSHORE BUT MOSTLY VARIABLE IN DIRECTION...THEN BECOMING
SLY TONIGHT/SAT MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...CLEAR AND QUIET WITH NEAR
TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED THROUGH THE SHORT TERM IN
RESPONSE TO A RIDGE BUILDING ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE WATERS THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS AND SHOULD BE ABLE TO LET THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
EXPIRE BY 5 AM CDT. THE SFC HIGH IS PROGD TO GRADUALLY SHIFT E
TONIGHT/SAT WITH WINDS BECOMING ONSHORE AND STRENGTHENING TO
WEAK/MOD LEVELS BY SAT AFTERNOON. THE ONSHORE WINDS WILL LEAD TO
SLIGHTLY WARMER HIGHS ON SAT.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...QUIET WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY. WARM
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL LEAD TO TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND 80S ON
SUNDAY. MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE ON MONDAY...WITH MOISTURE
IMPROVING FIRST OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. ATTENTION WILL TURN TO
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT WILL BE MOVING OUT OF MEXICO MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
RETURN MONDAY NIGHT...BUT BETTER CHANCES ON TUESDAY AS SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH TEXAS. MODELS IN A LITTLE
BETTER AGREEMENT THIS MORNING...SO HAVE BUMPED UP POPS TO 40 PERCENT
FOR TUESDAY. RAIN CHANCES MAY NEED TO BE INCREASED EVEN FURTHER IN
LATER FORECASTS IF MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WETTER SOLUTION.
RAIN CHANCES WILL PERSIST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO POSSIBLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING BEFORE TROUGH AXIS SWINGS EAST OF THE AREA AND DRIER AIR
FILTERS IN FROM THE WEST. ZONAL FLOW WILL THEN PERSIST ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS
CAN BE EXPECTED BY THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH UPPER 80S/LOWER 90S
OUT WEST TO LOWER 80S OVER THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  54  80  61  80  /   0   0   0   0   0
VICTORIA          77  49  79  58  80  /   0   0   0   0   0
LAREDO            80  54  86  59  87  /   0   0   0   0   0
ALICE             79  50  83  57  83  /   0   0   0   0   0
ROCKPORT          73  56  76  64  77  /   0   0   0   0   0
COTULLA           79  51  84  56  85  /   0   0   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        79  51  82  59  82  /   0   0   0   0   0
NAVY CORPUS       75  58  75  64  78  /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TE/81...AVIATION




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