Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 290447
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1147 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

...UPDATED FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 232 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK FOR
KANSAS...AS EASTERN CONUS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MAINTAINS AND KEEPS THE
COOLER AIR IN PLACE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. MEANWHILE...THE UPPER
LEVEL WAVE OF INTEREST IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ALONG THE US/CANADA
BORDER NEAR MONTANA. THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL BEGIN ITS SOUTHEAST
MOVEMENT FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH SHOWERS/STORMS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP OVER WESTERN KANSAS ON TUESDAY. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
GRADUALLY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL KANSAS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...AS MOISTURE TRANSPORT/ISENTROPIC LIFT
INCREASES. ELEVATED INSTABILITY LOOKS LIMITED THEREFORE THINKING
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE ISOLATED WITH RAIN SHOWERS THE
PREDOMINATE PRECIPITATION TYPE. THE PRECIPITATION AREA WILL TAPER
OFF FROM NORTH TO SOUTH OVER KANSAS FOR WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON/NIGHT...AS ISENTROPIC DOWN GLIDE SPREADS SOUTHWARD
PUSHING THE ACTIVITY INTO OKLAHOMA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA ON THURSDAY WITH VERY PLEASANT
WEATHER EXPECTED...LIGHT WINDS AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 232 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH THAT BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
FOR KANSAS THIS PERIOD AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS STAYS POSITIONED
OVER THE ROCKIES...WITH NORTHERLY/EASTERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE
KEEPING MODIFIED COOLER AIR IN PLACE. SMALL CHANCE OF DIURNAL
PRECIPITATION ACTIVITY FOR SATURDAY OTHERWISE DRY WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH OUT THIS PERIOD.

JAKUB

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1147 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST. EASTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME
SOUTHEASTERLY DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. MID-HIGH CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND DURING THE DAY WITH LOWER MID-LEVEL
CLOUDS MOVING IN TOWARDS THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY AFTER 00Z
WEDNESDAY AND HAVE INCLUDED VCTS FOR THAT POSSIBILITY IN THE
FORECAST. GENERALLY PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    64  84  65  74 /  10  10  60  70
HUTCHINSON      63  85  64  75 /  10  20  60  70
NEWTON          62  84  63  76 /  10  10  50  60
ELDORADO        62  85  63  75 /   0  10  50  60
WINFIELD-KWLD   64  84  64  73 /  10  10  60  80
RUSSELL         62  84  63  79 /  10  20  60  60
GREAT BEND      62  83  62  76 /  10  20  80  80
SALINA          63  86  64  79 /  10  10  40  50
MCPHERSON       63  85  63  76 /  10  10  50  60
COFFEYVILLE     61  86  63  76 /   0  10  30  50
CHANUTE         60  84  63  78 /   0  10  20  40
IOLA            60  84  62  78 /   0   0  20  40
PARSONS-KPPF    60  85  62  77 /   0  10  20  50

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$






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