Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 252215

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
315 PM PDT Sun Jun 25 2017

.SYNOPSIS...A low pressure system will bring isolated
thunderstorms to eastern Nevada on Monday along with breezy
conditions. Dry the rest of the week with a little cooler

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Tuesday. A little mid-level moisture
and instability over central NV this afternoon has resulted in
cloud buildups, but thunderstorms are not expected as moisture and
instability too limited. However gusty outflow winds are possible
with larger cloud buildups. A short wave will move across northern
NV Monday providing additional lift to help trigger isolated
thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening over northeast and
portions of central NV. Dry and stable on Tuesday with high
temperatures 5 to 8 degrees cooler across the north and 3 to 5
degrees cooler across central NV.

.LONG TERM...Tuesday night through Sunday

Trough over western Canada and CONUS places westerly flow over the
Great Basin. This keeps a dry and stable air mass across the
region. There is one minor exception as a trailing cold front sags
into northern Nevada lingers Wednesday afternoon. Isolated showers
or thunderstorm may occur over the higher terrain toward the Idaho
border. After the upper trough moves downstream, warm ridge covers
the western States for warming conditions into the weekend. The
latest guidance does show some spread for Sunday with slightly
cooler weather a possibility.

.AVIATION...A few -TSRA with locally gusty winds will be possible
across northeast Nevada including KEKO after 19Z Monday. The
remaining sites TAF sites will remain VFR with no TS expected,
although some 25kt wind gusts may occur after 19Z.

.FIRE WEATHER...Some cloud buildups across central NV this
afternoon but no thunderstorms are expected. A Pacific low
pressure system will move into northern NV on Monday. This will
help trigger isolated thunderstorms across northeast and portions
of central NV. Most of these storms will be dry and with 15 to 20
percent coverage expected over northeast NV a Red Flag Warning has
been issued for Monday afternoon and evening. In addition gusty
west winds along with low rh will also create critical fire
weather conditions across northern NV. Dry westerly flow will
prevail from Tuesday through the end of the week with no
significant impacts.

Red Flag Warning from noon to 10 PM PDT Monday for Central
Lander and Eureka Counties-Central and Western Humboldt County-
Eastern Elko County-Eastern Humboldt County and Northwestern
Elko County-Southwestern and Central Elko County.


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