Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 010942
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
242 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TODAY THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEK...BRINGING NICE FALL WEATHER TO NORTHERN
NEVADA. EXPECT SUNNY AND MILD CONDITIONS DURING THE DAY WITH COOL
AND DRY NIGHTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NORTHERLY FLOW IS CURRENTLY
OVER NORTHERN NEVADA WITH AN UPPER TROUGH JUST OFF TO THE EAST.
SOME LIGHT SHOWERS AND MOVING OUT OF THE AREA AND INTO WESTERN
UTAH AT THIS TIME. THERE IS AN OUTSIDE SHOT FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER
IN PORTIONS OF WHITE PINE COUNTY LATER THIS MORNING...SO HAVE
INCLUDED THIS INTO THE MORNING GRIDS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TONIGHT AND BE THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER
FOR NORTHERN NEVADA THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. FOR
TONIGHT...DRY AIR ALONG WITH GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL MAKE
FOR COLD AN CRISP CONDITIONS...WITH MANY AREAS GOING TO OR JUST
BELOW FREEZING. DURING THE THURSDAY PERIOD...700 MB TEMPERATURES
WILL INCREASE 3 TO 5 DEGREES. THIS WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON HIGHS
ON THURSDAY GOING UP TO AROUND NORMAL TO MAYBE A FEW DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THROUGH THE LONG TERM. HIGH PRESSURE OVER CALIFORNIA WITH
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PROVIDE THE GREAT BASIN WITH SUNNY SKIES AND
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL SLOWLY SLIDE
TOWARDS THE GREAT BASIN BY THE WEEKEND WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER. BY TUESDAY A WEAK
TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARDS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND WILL BRING
SOME INSTABILITY WEST OF THE AREA WITH ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
CLOUDS FOR THE GREAT BASIN.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY WINDS AT KTPH AND KELY MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING QUIET CONDITIONS TO NORTHERN
NEVADA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

86/90/90/86




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