Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FXUS64 KMEG 150148
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
848 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...01Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A 1024 MB RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND EXTENDING INTO THE
MIDDLE AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS THIS EVENING. HIGH CLOUDS ARE
GRADUALLY SPREADING INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AS AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AS OF 8 PM
CDT...TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE MID SOUTH ARE PREDOMINANTLY IN THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S AT MOST LOCATIONS. WILL MAKE SOME ADJUSTMENTS
TO TEMPERATURES AND SKY COVER TO ACCOUNT FOR LATEST SHORT TERM
TRENDS. OTHERWISE...FORECAST OVERALL IN GOOD SHAPE.

UPDATED GRIDS WILL BE AVAILABLE SHORTLY.

CJC

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 632 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2014/

UPDATE...AVIATION DISCUSSION.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2014/

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE MIDSOUTH TONIGHT. EXPECT
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AT LEAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. AFTER
MIDNIGHT...HIGH CLOUDS MAY BEGIN TO STREAM INTO AREA FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S.

ON MONDAY...THE MIDSOUTH WILL BE BETWEEN TWO SYSTEMS. A COLD FRONT
WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WHILE TROPICAL MOISTURE
STREAMS UP FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THE FRONT WILL BEGIN SINKING INTO
THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN BUILDING INTO THE MIDSOUTH AT THE SURFACE
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...ALOFT THE AREA WILL
BE UNDERNEATH NORTHWEST FLOW THUS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OR
TWO COULD MOVE INTO EASTERN ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE MID 70S TO MID 80S FOR
HIGHS. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO THE MID 60S.

BY THURSDAY NIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE AT THE SFC.
HOWEVER...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL QUICKLY BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR
FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO JUMP BACK INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR HIGHS. LOWS WILL CLIMB BACK INTO THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S FOR LOWS.

KRM

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT...MAINLY FROM THE NORTHEAST.

30

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$




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