Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FXUS64 KMOB 281010
AFDMOB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
510 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...A NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AS THE EASTERN STATES TROUGH
CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST. THIS WILL LEAD TO BUILDING SFC HIGH PRESSURE
ACROSS THE AREA...MAINTAINING THE COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS. HIGH
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...HOWEVER NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED. HIGHS TODAY WILL AGAIN BE
BELOW NORMAL IN THE UPPER 50S AND LOW 60S INLAND TO LOW/MID 60S
ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS. LOWS TONIGHT WILL AGAIN FALL INTO THE UPPER
30S INLAND TO MID 40S ALONG THE COAST. 13/JC

(SUNDAY AND MONDAY)...SUNDAY VERY SIMILAR TO SATURDAY BUT 5 TO 10
DEGREES WARMER AS THE SFC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SHIFTS JUST EAST OF THE
FCST AREA. HIGHS SUNDAY IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S WITH SKIES
REMAINING PARTLY CLOUDY AND NO RAIN EXPECTED. SUNDAY NIGHT THE RIDGE
TO THE EAST WEAKENS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
AND ALABAMA FROM THE NORTH. STILL NO RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT
INCREASING CLOUD COVER. LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT MAINLY IN THE MID TO UPPER
50S. ON MONDAY THE COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTH INTO THE FCST AREA...AND
WITH SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES ALOFT MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
BOUNDARY...LOOK FOR A RETURN OF A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BY MONDAY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. HIGHS MONDAY MOSTLY IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S. 12/DS

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...THE WEAK SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL STALL OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES THROUGH LATE WEEK...WITH SFC
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE GULF TO THE SOUTH. THIS
WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE PERIOD. COMBINATION OF
THE LOLVL MOISTURE AND WEAK SFC CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WEAKENING FRONT...PLUS THE CONTINUED PASSAGE OF A FEW DISTURBANCES
ALOFT...WITH MAINTAIN A UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH
FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. PCPN
PATTERN BECOMES SOMEWHAT DIURNAL IN NATURE...WITH BEST RAIN CHANCES
DURING THE DAYTIME AND EARLY EVENING HOURS AND LOWER RAIN CHANCES AT
NIGHT. MAX TEMPS GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY... APPROACHING LOWER 80S SOME LOCATIONS BY FRIDAY. OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S TUESDAY NIGHT...AND THEN IN THE
LOW TO MID 60S OVERNIGHT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. 12/DS

&&

.AVIATION...12Z ISSUANCE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. 13/JC

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA BY NEXT WEEK WITH A LIGHT ONSHORE
FLOW DEVELOPING DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK. 13/JC

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      65  43  67  58  74 /  10  05  05  10  40
PENSACOLA   64  45  65  59  75 /  10  05  00  10  30
DESTIN      62  47  63  59  72 /  10  05  00  10  30
EVERGREEN   60  36  67  52  77 /  10  05  05  10  40
WAYNESBORO  62  40  71  54  76 /  10  05  05  10  40
CAMDEN      59  38  68  54  76 /  10  05  05  10  40
CRESTVIEW   64  37  66  50  76 /  10  05  00  10  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$



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