Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 050010
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
710 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.AVIATION UPDATE...ALTHOUGH VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
AT MID-STATE TERMINALS OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD, PATCHY LATE NIGHT
BR, FOLLOWED BY THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS
DURING THE DAYLIGHT HRS WED, WILL LIKELY PRODUCE PERIODS OF MVFR
CONDITIONS. BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR CONDITIONS MAY ALSO OCCUR IF
TSTMS PASS DIRECTLY OVER A TERMINAL.

BEST CHANCE FOR MVFR DUE TO BR WILL BE BTWN 09Z AND 12Z. TIMING
OF TSTMS IS A BIT MORE PROBLEMATIC, ESPECIALLY SINCE IT HINGES ON
THE TIMING OF WK SHORTWAVES AND THEIR ASSOCIATED TSTM COMPLEXES.
RIGHT NOW, IT LOOKS LIKE A SHORTWAVE WILL PROBABLY PUSH AN AREA OF
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF MIDDLE TN
BTWN 16Z AND 21Z, WED,PROBABLY WEAKENING AS IT HEADS INTO EASTERN
COUNTIES. RIGHT NOW, HAVE GONE WITH BEST CHC FOR TSTMS ON WED AT
BNA AND CKV AND KEPT JUST AN AFTERNOON VCTS FOR CSV.

SINCE SO MUCH OF THIS FORECAST DEPENDS ON THE TIMING AND COVERAGE
OF UPSTREAM TSTM DEVELOPMENT, PILOTS ARE ADVISED TO KEEP A CLOSE
EYE ON RADAR TRENDS TO OUR WEST LATE TONIGHT AND WED MORNING IN
ORDER TO MAKE THE BEST DETERMINATION ON TIMING OF POTENTIAL
TSMT IMPACTS AT AREA TERMINALS. OF COURSE, THIS SAME REAL-TIME
INFORMATION WILL ALSO BE REFLECTED IN TAF ISSUANCES LATER TONIGHT
AND WED.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      74  84  70  85 /  10  40  60  70
CLARKSVILLE    72  83  69  83 /  20  50  70  70
CROSSVILLE     70  84  67  80 /  10  40  60  80
COLUMBIA       73  87  70  87 /  10  30  60  70
LAWRENCEBURG   72  87  69  87 /  10  40  60  70
WAVERLY        73  84  69  84 /  20  50  70  70

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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