Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 260823
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
323 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Summer continues here in Middle Tennessee. Upper ridge continues to
bring the heat across the area. This trend will continue over the
next several days with highs mostly in the 90s and lows in the 70s.
Along with the warm temperatures, dew points look like they will
stay in the 70s. The upper level ridge does weaken a little by
Tuesday into Wednesday equating to temperatures a degree or two
cooler.

Coverage in scattered showers and thunderstorms should be greater the
next couple of days relative to yesterday. The west should be favored
today in coverage with a little deeper moisture in place. A strong
storm with gusty winds can`t be completely ruled out. Into next
week, isolated diurnal, summertime showers and storms will be the
story.

We are still watching the tropics to see what the area of interest
near Cuba will do over the next several days. The Euro keeps the
system rather weak and takes it up the west coast of FL and then
swings it northeast. The GFS has a rather creative solution keeping
the disturbance weak and making initial landfall near the AL/MS
coastline before drifting east along the Gulf Coast and
strengthening. Either solution would not impact our weather here
in Middle TN. The Euro has been more consistent with the track over
the last couple of days, but looking at spaghetti plots a couple of
models want to bring it into the Gulf Coast. It will be worth
keeping an eye on regardless.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

A rather typical summertime pattern will continue in place over
the Mid-State during the next 24 hrs, with a period of BR expected
during the late night/early morning hours, and isolated thunderstorms
during the afternoon. Visibilities in the BR will be mainly MVFR,
except for some possible IFR conditions at CKV. Daytime conditions
will be mainly VFR, except for a brief period of MVFR and/or IFR
conditions if a thunderstorm should happen to pass over the airport.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      93  73  94  72  93 /  30  20  30  10  20
Clarksville    91  73  91  73  92 /  30  20  30  20  20
Crossville     89  69  89  69  87 /  20  20  40  10  40
Columbia       92  73  92  73  92 /  40  20  30  10  20
Lawrenceburg   92  73  91  73  91 /  40  20  30  10  30
Waverly        91  72  91  72  92 /  40  20  30  20  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......10/Reagan
AVIATION........19



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