Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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000
FXZS60 NSTU 300107
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
207 PM SST MON JUN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...
.TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A STATIONARY FRONT WILL CONTINUE
TO STALL OVER THE SAMOAN ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS
WEATHER PHENOMENON WILL USHER SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION...A BROAD AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE FRESH TO STRONG TRADE-WINDS ACROSS THE
FCST ZONES. THEREFORE...ANTICIPATE A WET AND BREEZY FCST PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...
.THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WELL SOUTHEAST OF
SAMOA WILL ADVANCE EASTWARD THUS ALLOWING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES
TO ENTER THE FCST ZONES THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. A SURFACE RIDGE FROM
THE SOUTH WILL YIELD TO DRIER WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY. HOWEVER...THE GFS MODEL MATERIALIZES A SURFACE TROUGH
NEAR NADI TO PASS TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION DURING SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
FOR NOW...WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND PROVIDE UPDATES AS NEW
MODELS BECOME AVAILABLE. WILL KEEP THE SCATTERED WORDING FOR THE
SHOWER COVERAGE THROUGHOUT THE LONG-TERM FCST PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...A SOUTH SWELL OF 9 TO 12 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO NEAR 7 TO
9 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THE ISSUANCE OF ADVISORIES FOR
SMALL CRAFTS AND HIGH SURFS ARE MANDATORY TO MIRROR THE LATEST
MARINE SITUATION.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.
.A HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

&&

$$

BAQUI








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