


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
342 FXZS60 NSTU 140015 AFDPPG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pago Pago AS 115 PM SST Sun Jul 13 2025 Overall, no severe weather is anticipated for the American Samoa islands throughout the next 7 days. However, choppy seas and elevated surf are forecast through at least the middle of the week. .Short term... A strong high pressure system centered currently to the southeast is producing trade winds up to around 20 mph over the territory. Otherwise, a mix of sun and clouds remained this morning and early this afternoon. These conditions are expected to remain throughout the day Monday. If showers occur, it would be in the passing form. By Monday night, the high is forecast to move further away from the region. This is anticipated to decrease the easterlies, but only slightly to around 15 mph through Tuesday. By Tuesday night and Wednesday, another high pressure system from the southwest is to increase trades once again to reach around 20 mph. Scattered showers remain throughout this period, mainly in the passing form, and flash flooding is not likely. .Long term... The aforementioned high pressure system is expected to continue influencing the weather over American Samoa through late in the week, but wind speeds slowly decrease late in the week. A weak trough is to develop by next weekend, which would increase showers to numerous showers (70% chance) but flash flooding is not likely. && .Marine... The moderate to fresh easterly trades continue to provide rough and choppy seas along the American Samoa coastal waters region. Winds only decrease slightly overnight to around 15 to 20 knots (compared to around 20 knots as of this morning) and eventually down to around 15 knots on Monday night and Tuesday. However, the easterlies are still anticipated to elevated seas within the Small Craft Advisory criteria (8 feet or above). Another high pressure from the southwest influences the region on Tuesday night through the rest of the week to produce a fresh east/southeasterly breeze to keep seas choppy. A southerly swell is to move through the American Samoa coastal waters to elevate surf along the southern shores in the middle of the week. && .PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... A High Surf Advisory remains in effect. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect. && $$ LaPlante