Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FLUS43 KSGF 280144
HWOSGF

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
844 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-290145-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
844 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Flooding risk.

DISCUSSION...

Residual flooding of some creeks and low water crossings will
continue tonight across the eastern Missouri Ozarks.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Confidence remains high that heavy rainfall will impact the
Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeastern Kansas from Friday night
into Sunday. Storm total rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are
expected, with localized amounts of 8 inches or more likely. The
exact location of the heaviest rainfall still remains somewhat
unclear...however at this time the most probable axis for the
highest rainfall will be along and southeast of the interstate
44 corridor.

The potential for widespread flash flooding is becoming
increasingly likely with some significant flooding possible. A
Flash Flood Watch is in effect for all of the Missouri Ozarks
and extreme southeastern Kansas from Friday evening through
Sunday. It should also be noted that flooding of some low water
crossings, creeks, and rivers may persist for several days after
the rain ends.

There is also an elevated risk for severe storms across portions
of southern Missouri Friday night. Large hail up to the size of
golf balls and damaging winds will be the primary potential
severe weather hazards. There will be a limited threat for a few
tornadoes across portions of south-central Missouri near a
developing frontal boundary. The exact location of the greatest
severe weather threat for Friday night will be highly dependent
on the location of that front. At this time it looks as if the
warm front may lift slightly into southern Missouri on Friday
night.

The risk for strong to severe storms may then persist into
Saturday across portions of southern Missouri. Again, the threat
for severe storms will be dependent on the location of that
front.

Thunderstorms will then end later on Sunday with another chance
for thunderstorms around the middle of next week.

Those with outdoor and travel plans for this upcoming weekend
should pay close attention to the forecast as there is the
potential for multiple weather hazards, including the potential
for widespread flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Foster



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