Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 281125
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
625 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Updated for aviation discussion.

&&

.AVIATION...

Mainly VFR conditions through this period with high pressure
building. Could have briefly MVFR visby at VCT early this morning,
but otherwise quiet. Generally light winds expected. Sea breeze
should move in during the afternoon but wind speeds remain mainly
light.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 341 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2016/

SHORT TERM (Today through Thursday)...

As high pressure builds over the region, moisture will continue to
be pushed off to the south and east. The highest moisture air now
remains mainly over the marine areas and will continue out of the
area through today. This will leave dry conditions expected across
the forecast area. A reinforcing push of high pressure is progged
into South Texas Wednesday night bringing even drier air...this time
with a decrease in dewpoints, albeit small.  High temperatures today
will be right around normal values in the upper 80s.  Drier air on
Thursday will allow temperatures to warm a degree or two from
today.

LONG TERM (Thursday Night through Tuesday)...

Overall, looks like a quiet weather pattern at least through the
early part of next week, as moisture remains limited and high
pressure aloft initially is in control. The ridge breaks down this
weekend and a weak diffluent flow develops. The surface winds will
initially be northerly, which means moisture will be limited and we
will have some mild temperatures at least into the first part of the
weekend. Moisture then gets a bit better starting next week, as a
baggy but slow moving trough approaches the Northern Plains. At this
time, it looks as if this potent system will stay to the north of
South Texas, and thus the chances for precipitation still look
limited as precipitable waters generally remain below 1.5 inches.
As a result, will keep the forecast dry for the long-term portion of
the forecast. The main feature of the forecast period will be a mild
start with not much in clouds, then a gradual warm up with humid
conditions returning by Tuesday. Overall, Superblend was reasonable
and other than some minor adjustments to the daytime highs near the
coast, its values were accepted.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    89  73  90  66  85  /  10  10   0   0   0
Victoria          88  68  89  60  83  /  10  10   0   0   0
Laredo            88  72  90  64  85  /  10  10   0   0   0
Alice             89  71  92  62  86  /  10  10   0   0   0
Rockport          88  72  89  66  84  /  10  10   0   0   0
Cotulla           88  69  90  61  86  /  10  10   0   0   0
Kingsville        89  72  92  64  87  /  10  10   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       88  74  89  70  85  /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

PZ/83...AVIATION



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