Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 211956
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
256 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...A WEAKENING UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DRAPED ACROSS FAR WEST TX...WILL CONTINUE
TO DRAW MOISTURE ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM. SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS WILL MAINTAIN ISOLD SHRAS TONIGHT THRU WED...WHILE
DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER ACROSS THE EAST CWA. WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO SEE MCLDY SKIES ACROSS THE WESTERN 1/3RD OF THE CWA WITH
CLR TO PARTLY CLOUDY ACROSS THE EASTERN 2/3RDS THROUGH WED. THIS
WILL LEAD TO ABV NORMAL HIGH TEMPS ACROSS THE EAST AND NEAR NORMAL
ACROSS THE WEST. A SFC HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS EAST TX TO THE FL
PANHANDLE AND LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE SRN GULF...WILL MAINTAIN THE E
TO NE FLOW ACROSS S TX AND THE MIDDLE TX COASTAL WATERS. WINDS
ACROSS THE WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY MOD WHICH WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A MOD RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THRU WED. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW
THROUGH MID/LATE WEEK. CURRENTLY TIDES AT BOB HALL PIER ARE RUNNING
APPROX. 0.5FT ABV PREDICTED WHICH RESULTS IN TIDES RUNNING AROUND
1.5FT ABV MSL AT THE PEAK OF HIGH TIDE.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...A WEAKENING MID LEVEL
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH TEXAS ON THURSDAY. BUT
THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE TOO DRY AND CAPPED OVER
THE REGION FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION TO DEVELOP. A SUBSIDENT
MID/UPR LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD FRI-SAT RESULTING IN MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES (DWPTS IN 50S) AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. NEXT S/W TROUGH MOVES
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY INITIATING A WEAK RETURN FLOW WITH
DWPTS NOSING BACK INTO THE 60S. ANOTHER MORE POTENT S/W TROUGH WILL
ADVANCE INTO THE PLAINS MONDAY...REACHING THE UPPER MIDWEST TUE. A
FEW STREAMER SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST COASTAL BEND
MONDAY WITHIN AXIS OF LOW LVL MOIST ADVECTION. THEN A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE MONDAY NIGHT...APPROACHING SOUTH
TEXAS ON TUESDAY.  A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO POOLING
MOISTURE ALONG THE SFC BOUNDARY. THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE BAY
OF CAMPECHE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST TOWARD THE YUCATAN AND
NORTHWEST CARRIBEAN SEA BY THE WEEKEND...RELAXING THE GRADIENT IN
THE NW GULF AND WILL REMAIN WELL AWAY FROM SOUTH TEXAS TO PRODUCE
ANY IMPACTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    69  86  67  84  65  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          60  87  59  85  60  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            68  87  68  85  66  /  20  20  10  10  10
ALICE             65  88  65  86  63  /  10  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          70  85  69  83  68  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           65  87  65  86  64  /  10  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        68  87  66  85  64  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       71  85  70  83  70  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TE/81...SHORT TERM
JM/75...LONG TERM






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