Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 290440
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1140 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Updated for aviation discussion

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 927 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017/

UPDATE...

A cold front continues to push southeastward across the Mid-South
this evening. Showers had started to develop along the front late
this afternoon, but quickly diminished after sunset from the loss
of daytime heating. Models continue to show some redevelopment
along the front during the overnight hours across North
Mississippi. Thus for now, will update to lower POPS across the
northwest half of the CWA. Update will be out shortly.

KRM

DISCUSSION... /issued 328 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017/

Skies are partly cloudy across the forecast area this afternoon
with temperatures ranging from the lower 70s to lower 80s.
Currently, there is no rain that is falling in the forecast area.
A cold front was located from southern Indiana through northeast
Arkansas and into west Texas.

This front is expected to continue to move southeast tonight and
make its way through the forecast area. Some showers and isolated
thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of the front with the
best chance of rain over portions of north Mississippi. Temperatures
will remain pretty close to normal readings with lows Monday
morning in the 60s. On Monday, the cold front will stall out
across central Mississippi so any thunderstorms that form should
be over north Mississippi. Temperatures will remain seasonably
warm with highs in the low to mid 80s. The front will not move
much on Monday night so there will still be a chance of
thunderstorms over portions of north Mississippi.

On Tuesday, the front will start to lift slowly north toward the
forecast area with more thunderstorms expected for both Tuesday
and Tuesday night. The front will then move back south on
Wednesday with more thunderstorms possible. High pressure will
briefly build into the region on Wednesday night bringing a brief
period of dry weather.

The remainder of the forecast period will remain unsettled as
several disturbance move through the region bringing more rounds
of thunderstorms for Thursday through next Sunday. Temperatures
will remain close to normal levels for much of the forecast
period.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

A very weak cold front will stall over the area tonight. Expect
VFR conds at KJBR and KMEM through the period. Light fog will
likely develop at KMKL due to recent rains and light winds and
partly cloudy skies. Too much cloud cover for dense fog. A
disturbance will pass through North Mississippi tonight triggering
a round of showers and possibly some tsras from about 06z-12z.
Isolated showers will continue through the day at KTUP. Winds will
be light through the period.

SJM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$


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