Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 300844
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
344 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS ARE GENERALLY LIGHT THIS MORNING IN THE WAKE OF A COOL
FRONT.  MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT IS
WELL EAST AND SOUTH OF OKLAHOMA.

FOR TODAY...WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST. STORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN RATHER LOW
TODAY INTO TONIGHT AS TEMPS ARE RATHER WARM AROUND 8H. STORM
CHANCES WILL INCREASE TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON...EVENING...AS A TROUGH...CURRENTLY WEST OF
BAJA...APPROACHES. INCREASING MID TO HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING MAY RESULT IN LIGHT SHOWERS.

INSTABILITY ON TUESDAY...GREATER IN SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...SHOULD
RESULT IN ROBUST STORMS. LOW TO MID-LEVEL WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT
WEAK AND WILL LIKELY KEEP STORM INTENSITY IN THE STRONG TO LOW-
END SEVERE RANGE.

A NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN RATHER WINDY CONDITIONS
ON WEDNESDAY. AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO NORTHERN/WESTERN OKLAHOMA LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY.
BETTER PRECIPITATION/STORM CHANCES WILL LIKELY BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY
FRIDAY...WHICH WILL PUSH A STRONGER COLD FRONT THROUGH ALL OF
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WILL KEEP
SLIGHT/CHANCE POP IN THE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY NIGHT...MAINLY EAST
OF INTERSTATE 35. SEVERE STORMS ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE WITH THIS
FRONT.

FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY APPEARS NICE WITH DRIER AIR AND MILD
TEMPERATURES. SOUTH WINDS WILL RETURN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP WITH THE RETURN FLOW.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  56  80  57 /   0  10  30  30
HOBART OK         76  53  82  55 /   0  10  30  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  78  56  82  57 /   0  10  30  30
GAGE OK           78  47  82  51 /   0  10  30  10
PONCA CITY OK     74  49  81  54 /   0  10  20  20
DURANT OK         76  58  76  58 /  10  10  30  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$


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