Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS48 KWNS 230857
SWOD48
SPC AC 230856

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

VALID 261200Z - 011200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEK...ALTHOUGH INCREASING GUIDANCE VARIABILITY EXISTS BY LATE IN
THE WEEK CONCERNING DETAILS OF AN EASTWARD-MOVING UPPER TROUGH OVER
THE WESTERN/CENTRAL CONUS. IN GENERAL...MODEST MOISTURE AND/OR A
LACK OF STRONGER FORCING/VERTICAL SHEAR ARE EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE
MEANINGFUL/WELL-ORGANIZED SEVERE EPISODES. THAT SAID...SOME STRONG
STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE AROUND DAYS 4-6 FRIDAY-SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF
THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN/LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY/CENTRAL ROCKIES
VICINITY AS THE WESTERN STATES UPPER TROUGH/COLD FRONT SHIFT
EASTWARD. SIMILARLY...SOME STRONG/SEVERE POTENTIAL COULD REACH THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY AROUND DAYS 6/7 SUNDAY/MONDAY.

..GUYER.. 09/23/2014


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