Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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000
FXUS63 KBIS 240851
AFDBIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
351 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 339 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH CURRENTLY IN EFFECT THROUGH 11 AM CDT
FOR WEST AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 339 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

MAIN FEATURE IN THE EXTENDED WILL BE THE UPPER LOW SWINGING
THROUGH BRINGING COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION. LOW/NIL POPS FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS
THE COOLER POST FRONTAL SHOWERS MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN SEC TINS
OF THE STATE. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY LOOKS GENERALLY AS AN H500 RIDGE BUILDS IN THE NORTHWEST
US RESULTING IN A DOWNSTREAM UPPER LOW OVER HUDSON BAY THAT WILL
BRING SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
US. THE EFFECT ON NORTH DAKOTA DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE COOLER
AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER FOR THE STATE WITH 70S EAST AND 80S IN THE
WEST.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 339 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

MAIN HAZARD TO AVIATION WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS PERIOD.
HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS PLACE A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
WEST AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA BETWEEN 5 AM AND 11 AM CDT. THIS
LIKELY TO IMPACT ALL TAF SITES AS THE LINE PROGRESSES EAST.
STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREAT. THUNDERSTORM
THREAT DECREASES AFTER NOON CDT. OTHERWISE VFR.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAA/JPM
LONG TERM...WAA
AVIATION...JPM






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