Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 012024
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
324 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...

LOWER DEWPOINTS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPRESS CONVECTION IN THE
NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE REST
OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. IN FACT...EVEN IN THE
SOUTH AND EAST...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW CLIMO LEVELS AS WELL. BY THE TIME WE GET TO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO FLATTEN OUT.
THIS WILL NOT ONLY ALLOW SOME LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE TO RETURN TO
THE ENTIRE CWA...BUT ALSO CAUSE TEMPS TO START CREEPING UP AS
WELL. WILL NEED TO WATCH THE HEAT INDEX FORECAST STARTING AROUND
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...AS SOME PARTS COULD BE PUSHING INTO HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA ONCE AGAIN. WE MAY NEED TO INTRODUCE THAT
POSSIBILITY INTO THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IN THE NEAR FUTURE.
OTHERWISE...THE LONG TERM FORECAST (MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK)
FEATURES CLIMO LEVEL POPS AND ABOVE CLIMO TEMPS.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST. NORTHEAST WINDS.

88


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA OVER THE
WEEKEND...EXCEPT FOR A FEW SHOWERS OR STORMS ALONG AND SOUTH OF
I-85.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     65  93  65  95  70 /   0  10  10  10   0
ANNISTON    66  92  66  94  71 /   0  10   0  10   0
BIRMINGHAM  69  93  69  95  73 /   0  10  10  10   0
TUSCALOOSA  69  96  69  98  74 /   0  10  10  10   0
CALERA      66  94  66  95  71 /   0  10  10  10   0
AUBURN      71  92  72  95  73 /  10  10  10  10   0
MONTGOMERY  72  95  72  97  73 /  10  10  10  10   0
TROY        72  95  71  96  73 /  20  20  10  10   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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