Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 051755
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1155 AM CST THU MAR 5 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ADJUSTED THE NEAR TERM FOR A NEW ROUND OF PRECIP MOVING INTO THE
WARNING AREA FROM MISSISSIPPI. 925MB ANALYSIS SHOWS A CIRCULATION
MOVING EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH COLD ADVECTION INCREASING IN
ITS WAKE. SURFACE OBS INDICATE A 3-4 DEGREE DROP BEHIND A WAVE OF
COLD ADVECTION LOCATED JUST NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 59 CORRIDOR.
THE FREEZING LINE HAS MOVED INTO NORTHERN PICKENS...TUSCALOOSA...
AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES JUST AHEAD OF THE BAND OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN. CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE IN THOSE AREAS.

87/GRANTHAM


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

WELL THE PRECIPITATION IS NOW WORKING INTO THE TAF SITES THIS
AFTERNOON. EXPECT SOME FROZEN PRECIP TO WORK INTO TCL AND BHM
WITHIN THE HOUR AND THEN MOVE OVER TO ASN AND ANB BY 19 TO 20Z.
EET MAY SEE SOME RAPL AT TIMES...BUT ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD STAY TO
THE NORTH. GRADUAL CLEARING OF THE PRECIPITATION BY 22Z AND THEN
CLOUD CLEARING AFTER 3 TO 6Z.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     37  22  43  26  55 / 100  10   0   0   0
ANNISTON    44  23  45  27  56 / 100  10   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  36  20  43  28  55 / 100  10   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  37  21  44  28  56 / 100  10   0   0   0
CALERA      38  22  45  29  57 / 100  10   0   0   0
AUBURN      66  28  49  32  60 /  60  20   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  59  27  50  30  60 /  60  20   0   0   0
TROY        70  28  50  32  60 /  60  20   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: BLOUNT...FAYETTE...JEFFERSON...LAMAR...
MARION...PICKENS...TUSCALOOSA...WALKER...WINSTON.

FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: BIBB...CALHOUN...CHEROKEE...ETOWAH...
GREENE...HALE...SHELBY...ST. CLAIR...SUMTER.

&&

$$








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