Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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362
FXUS64 KBMX 260015 AAA
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
715 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

.UPDATE...
For 00Z Aviation.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated showers across across central Alabama this afternoon should
dissipate by early evening due subsidence under strong upper ridge.
Upper air soundings indicate a pocket of drier mid level air
across southern Georgia and northwest Florida. Satellite/radar
imagery show minimal cloud cover across this region, and this
dry pocket should expand westward across south Alabama tonight
and Friday. Deeper moisture will pool across north Alabama on
Friday as the center of the upper high shifts eastward. The
lowering of 500mb heights and pooling of moisture should result in
higher coverage of convective activity across north Alabama on
Friday than today.

Beyond Friday the overall upper air pattern does not change much
across Alabama with a large scale ridge over the Gulf Coast
region. This ridge will make it difficult for any tropical system
to make a poleward movement. The models are not showing any
consensus with the tropical wave currently moving through the
Bahamas. The forecast for central Alabama will not show any
impacts from this tropical system due to uncertainty. Overall the
forecast will show little day to day variability with daytime
temperatures running above normal and low rain chances.

58/rose

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF Discussion.

A few isolated showers and thunderstorms are lingering, one of
which is moving away from BHM and will be away shortly.
Afterwhich, we should see VFR conditions for the most part with
possibly some shallow river fog overnight at TCL. Otherwise, for
Friday, there will be low pops to the far north, but too low of a
chance to mention at terminals at this time.

08

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A prolonged period of generally dry conditions will continue thru the
weekend, with only low rain chances at times. Temps will remain
slightly above normal thru Sunday. Critical fire weather
conditions are not expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     73  92  72  91  72 /  20  30  20  10  10
Anniston    74  92  72  92  73 /  20  20  10  10  10
Birmingham  76  92  74  93  74 /  20  20  10  10  10
Tuscaloosa  74  94  73  95  74 /  20  20  10  10  10
Calera      74  92  73  93  73 /  20  20  10  10  10
Auburn      72  92  72  92  73 /  10  10  10  10  10
Montgomery  74  95  72  94  74 /  10  10  10  10  10
Troy        72  92  71  92  73 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

58/08



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