Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
954
FXUS64 KBMX 250456
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1156 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

.UPDATE...
For 06Z Aviation.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Storms to the northwest over Arkansas, Western Tennessee, and
Northern Mississippi are moving to the southeast toward Alabama.
However, they have been decreasing in intensity on radar, showing
warming cloud tops on IR satellite and have dramatically decreased
in lightning activity with the loss of heating. Most of the models
do not have any precip making it into Central Alabama. The 00z
HRRR tries to bring in a light shower in the northwest counties
well after midnight, but will only carry some unmentioned 10 pops
in the grids as the probability is very low that any storms hold
together that far to the southeast. Have made only minimal changes
to the overnight lows. They will be milder once again tonight.
Have added in more cloud cover in the grids as we should get a
little increased cloudiness from the decaying storms.

08


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF Discussion.

Outside of the potential for a brief period of visibility
dropping to MVFR due to BR around sunrise at TOI, VFR and
rain-free conditions will be predominant through the period.
Winds will be calm tonight, becoming southerly 5-10 kts Wednesday
afternoon.

32/Davis

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Dry conditions are expected through the week with only minimal
rain chances. Low level moisture will slowly increase through the
end of the week. There are no fire weather concerns at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     58  88  61  89  65 /   0  10  10  10  10
Anniston    60  88  64  88  66 /   0  10   0  10  10
Birmingham  62  88  66  89  68 /   0  10  10  10  10
Tuscaloosa  62  88  64  89  67 /   0  10   0  10  10
Calera      61  87  66  88  67 /   0   0   0  10  10
Auburn      61  88  65  86  67 /   0   0   0  10  10
Montgomery  62  90  66  91  67 /   0   0   0  10  10
Troy        61  89  62  91  67 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.