Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 251220

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
620 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 323 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018

The big story will be dry and warmer today with westerly downslope
winds helping to get Nebraska zones back into the 40s for highs,
while north central Kansas could see 50.

Fire weather conditions will have to be watched with low RH
values over north central Kansas, but think the winds should
remain light enough to keep headlines away.

Tonight...The dry weather will continue. Low dewpoints with clear
skies and light winds should allow temperatures to cool off pretty
fast into the teens northwest to the lower and mid 20s elsewhere.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 323 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018

For the most part temperatures will average near to above normal
with little if any precipitation.

Monday...appears to be the warmest day with south to
southwesterly flow and highs in the 50s to maybe even some lower
60s over north central Kansas. There are some fire weather
concerns with a fire weather watch in effect. Please refer to the
fire weather section below for more information.

Tuesday...will see a cool front swing through, but should stay dry
with highs cooling back into the 40s over Nebraska. Kansas could
see enough hours ahead of the cool front to still see some 50s and
maybe even more 60 degree readings, but confidence is not real
high with temperatures given a frontal boundary in the area and
timing questions.

Tuesday night through Wednesday night...We do expect a weak
shortwave to track across the plains, but most of the energy and
moisture will be south and southeast of our area. Therefore, we
expect just the slightest of chances of getting a little light
rain or snow over some parts of our forecast areas, but shouldn`t
be a bit deal. However, it will be cooler with highs ranging from
the mid to upper 30s north of I-80 to the 40s over north central

Thursday through Saturday...An upper trough will dig across the
northwestern United States with a bit of an upper ridge over the
plains. Southerly low level flow ahead of the western trough will
pump warmer air northward making for a warming trend from the 40s
into the 50s for highs. We should be dry through Saturday and then
will have to see how the upper trough advances into the plains for
possible precipitation chances just beyond the end of this
forecast period.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 12Z Monday)
Issued at 617 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018

This will continue to be a very quiet aviation period with VFR
conditions expected. There will just be a few to scattered high
clouds moving across the region today. The wind will remain out
of the west and be the strongest during the afternoon hours, but
should not be overly strong.


Issued at 323 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018

Today...RH values will likely fall to around 20 percent over
northern Kansas and the southern most counties in Nebraska this
afternoon. However, the west wind should still be fairly light,
but with afternoon wind gusts we could come close to briefly
meeting red flag conditions and will have to keep an eye out for

Monday...As we warm up we can expect RH values to once again fall
to around 20 percent during the afternoon hours. The wind will be
stronger than on Sunday and should likely reach our 20 gust 25
criteria at times. Therefore, a fire weather watch is in effect
for north central Kansas into Furnas and Harlan counties in
Nebraska. The wind will generally vary from southerly to


NE...Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening
     for NEZ082-083.

KS...Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening
     for KSZ005>007-017>019.



LONG TERM...Wesely
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