Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 102100
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
300 PM CST Sat Dec 10 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Stratus continues to erode from west to east this afternoon.
Expect this trend to continue through at least sunset as stout WSW
LLJ ~850 intensifies. However, later tonight increasing moisture
in the BL and strong WAA should result in stratus redeveloping at
least along and east of I35. It`s unclear how far west it will
make it given the veered flow. Drizzle will also be possible by
early tomorrow morning over eastern OK, and appears fairly likely
for SE OK.

Still expect a decent warm up tomorrow as low level SW flow
continues ahead of the next approaching cold front, which should
make it into NW OK by mid day. Expect fropa for the entire FA by
3zish. Dewpoints will drop sharply behind it Mon morning under the
surface ridge and winds will subside so expect a chilly morning
again Mon. Temps will moderate to around average during the day
Monday. Then, yet another cold front arrives early Tue morning. No
significant precipitation is expected with this front but there
could be some drizzle that develops north of the baroclinic zone
by Wed AM. Some of which could be the light freezing type. No
impacts are expected at this time, though. The strongest WAA,
after today, will occur Thu-Fri as a Pacific trough moves onshore
with an initial shortwave trough lifting over the southern
Rockies. Light, freezing drizzle chances will increase early Thu
and perhaps continue through early Fri across the northern CWA.
Both the ECMWF and GFS show very warm prefrontal temps developing
Fri afternoon before a STOUT cold front quickly dives south
through next weekend. Right now, it appears snow chances are
starting to increase slightly during this timeframe based on
moisture profiles. It`s certainly too early to determine how big
of impact next weekend`s trough will have on our area, but
northern OK appears to have the highest chances for accumulating
snowfall.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  42  60  31  54 /  10  10   0   0
Hobart OK         41  58  30  53 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  46  68  35  56 /  10   0   0   0
Gage OK           36  56  24  56 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     40  53  25  51 /  10  20   0   0
Durant OK         44  68  41  57 /  40  20  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/03



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