Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 031723
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1223 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TERMINALS
THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS A TO OR
BELOW 10 KNOTS. THERE WILL BE A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON, ALTHOUGH GIVEN THE ISOLATED NATURE AND SHORT
DURATION, WILL NOT INCLUDE A MENTION IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 652 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT KABI
TODAY AND TONIGHT, HOWEVER COVERAGE WILL BE TOO SPARSE TO INCLUDE
IN ITS TERMINAL. VFR CONDITIONS OTHERWISE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

SOME WEAK DISTURBANCES MAY BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO PORTIONS OF THE BIG COUNTRY TODAY AND TONIGHT. OTHERWISE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD IN, ENDING RAIN CHANCES. WENT FOR A
PRIMARILY PERSISTENT FORECAST, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S TO 100
TODAY AND LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

A LARGE SCALE MID ANDUPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY
EXTENDS FROM WEST TEXAS NORTHWESTWARD INTO WYOMING AND IDAHO.
DISTURBANCES PRODUCING RAIN AND SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CHANGES ARE
DISPLACED NORTH AND EAST OF THIS LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND
AWAY FROM THE FORECAST AREA. THIS RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST AND
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE NORTHERN U.S. OVER THE NEXT TWO TO THREE
DAYS. HOWEVER HIGH PRESSURE IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS WILL
REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST U.S. INCLUDING WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL ACCOMPANY
THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM.

THE RESULT OF THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE DRY AND HOT WEATHER
OVER THE FORECAST AREA. CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE LESS THAN 15
PERCENT AND TEMPERATURES WILL HOVER WITHIN A FEW DEGREES EITHER
SIDE OF 100 DEGREES THE NEXT 5-DAYS. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE LIMITED
TO MOSTLY LATE AFTERNOON HEATING THAT COULD CAUSE A FEW ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE FORECAST AREA. SURFACE WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM THE SOUTHEAST...SOUTH...OR
SOUTHWEST AS THEY MOVE AROUND THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE NEARLY
STATIONARY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AREA. WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
WILL CAUSE THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES.

HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO DRY GRASS AND OTHER VEGETATION
RESULTING IN A SLOW INCREASE IN FIRE HAZARDS THROUGH THE WEEK.
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE COMBINED WITH HOT TEMPERATURES WILL REQUIRE
PERIODIC SHADE BREAKS FOR OUTSIDE WORKERS...DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE  99  76 100  77 /  20  10  10   5
SAN ANGELO 100  74 100  77 /  10   5  10   5
JUNCTION  98  72  97  75 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

07


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