Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS62 KTAE 061718
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
118 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Saturday]...

VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period. NW winds
around 10G18kts this afternoon will decrease overnight. A few cu
clouds around 6kft are possible this afternoon at the northern TAF
sites (ABY and DHN).

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [941 AM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

A deep upper level trough will continue to persist along the east
coast today. Dry northwest flow over the local area will allow for
another day of mostly sunny skies with afternoon high temperatures
in the mid to upper 70s.


.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Sunday]...

As deep low pressure moves off the mid-Atlantic coastline, stacked
high pressure will move in across the Gulf coast. Lows will be in
the 50s and highs will be in the 80s. No rain is forecast.


.LONG TERM [Sunday Night Through Friday]...

As high pressure will shifts eastward, onshore flow will begin to
return moisture to the area Monday. By Tuesday, a more unsettled
pattern will move into place over the southeast and chances for rain
will return, but remain in the 20-30% range for now. Highs will be
in the 80s and lows will be in the 60s.


.MARINE...

Winds will fall below advisory levels this morning and continue to
gradually fall through the weekend.


.FIRE WEATHER...

Dry conditions will continue through the weekend. While min RH
values will be low this afternoon, durations will not be long enough
for red flag concerns, and winds are also expected to be too light.
Similar conditions are expected for Saturday.


.HYDROLOGY...

With no rainfall expected for the next several days, there are no
flooding concerns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   51  82  58  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   58  78  65  80  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        52  81  57  86  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        52  81  57  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      51  81  56  88  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    49  81  57  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  54  79  64  81  67 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM...Moore
AVIATION...Fieux
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...Moore
HYDROLOGY...DVD



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