Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS28 KWNS 221957
FWDD38

DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

VALID 241200Z - 301200Z

STRONG SWLY FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF A DEEP UPPER TROUGH WILL BEGIN
SPREADING ACROSS NRN CA AND THE PACIFIC NW ON D3/WED. COLD FRONT AND
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN W OF THE
CASCADES WHILE ENHANCED SWLY SURFACE WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS OCCUR
FROM NE CA NEWD INTO E-CNTRL ORE. AS SUCH...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS NE CA...NW NV...AND SE ORE ON
D3/WED.

THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE EWD BUT ITS PROGRESS WILL BE IMPEDED BY A
DEVELOPING UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE CNTRL AND ERN CONUS. MODEL
SOLUTIONS BEGIN TO DIVERGE EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH THE GFS
FAVORING A FASTER...MORE PROGRESSIVE SOLUTION WITH THE UPPER TROUGH
AND THE ECMWF SUGGESTING A MORE AMPLIFIED AND SLOWER SYSTEM. IN
EITHER CASE...FIRE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS LOW AS COOL AND MOIST
CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE WRN CONUS WITH HIGH PRESSURE
AND WEAK WINDS ELSEWHERE.

..MOSIER.. 09/22/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...



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