Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS22 KWNS 261935
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0235 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

ON GOING FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE.

..MARSH.. 05/26/2016

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0354 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016/

...SYNOPSIS...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO ADVANCE NEWD ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL CONUS. AN ACCOMPANYING WIND-SPEED MAXIMUM IS
EXPECTED TO TRAIL SWWD FROM THE TROUGH TOWARD PARTS OF THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS AND SRN ROCKIES. A DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE EWD ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SRN GREAT PLAINS DURING THE DAY...WHILE SFC LOW
PRESSURE SLOWLY DEVELOPS NEWD ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL CONUS.

...PORTIONS OF ERN/CNTRL/SRN NM...FAR W TX...
TO THE W OF THE AFOREMENTIONED DRYLINE...MODESTLY ENHANCED FLOW
ALOFT WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT WSWLY TO WLY SFC WINDS AROUND
15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AS VERTICAL MIXING DIURNALLY
STRENGTHENS. RH AROUND 5-12 PERCENT WILL COMBINE WITH THESE WINDS
AMIDST DRY FUELS TO SUPPORT AN ELEVATED AREA ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
REGION. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN CRITICALLY STRONG WINDS OCCURRING ON
ANY MORE THAN A BRIEF/SPOTTY BASIS IS LIMITED IN THE ABSENCE OF
STRONGER LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW DESPITE EXPECTED LOW RH.

ADDITIONALLY...ELEVATED METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS COULD EXTEND TO
THE E OF THE ELEVATED AREA -- INTO OTHER PARTS OF FAR W TX.
HOWEVER...UNFAVORABLE FUEL CONDITIONS FOR FIRE SPREAD OWING TO FUEL
GREEN-UP PRECLUDES FIRE-WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

$$



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