Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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816
FNUS22 KWNS 081804
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1204 PM CST MON FEB 08 2016

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

...SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...
OFFSHORE GRADIENT IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO SUPPORT
BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF SRN CA ON TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL APPROACH 90 DEG F /10-20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE/ DURING THE
AFTERNOON WITH MIN RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT. THESE METEOROLOGICAL
CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH FUELS PRIMED DURING THE PERSISTENT OFFSHORE
FLOW DURING THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL SUPPORT AN ELEVATED TO
LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. GRADUALLY DECREASING SPATIAL
EXTENT OF THE GUSTY WINDS IS ANTICIPATED TO PRECLUDE MORE WIDESPREAD
CRITICAL CONDITIONS.

..MOSIER.. 02/08/2016

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0303 AM CST MON FEB 08 2016/

...SYNOPSIS...
THE EASTERN TROUGH/WESTERN RIDGE PATTERN IN PLACE ON D1/MON WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH VERY LITTLE
CHANGE.  AT THE SURFACE...A BROAD/WEAK CYCLONE WILL MOVE SLOWLY
EASTWARD FROM THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES INTO NEW ENGLAND...WHILE A
STRONG ANTICYCLONE MOVES SLOWLY SOUTH ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND ANOTHER HIGH REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST.  THE OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL ELEVATE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ONCE AGAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.

...SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...
THE OFFSHORE GRADIENT THAT HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR MUCH OF THE PAST
WEEK IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOME DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY IN
CONJUNCTION WITH A SLIGHT WEAKENING/RETREAT OF THE SURFACE HIGH OVER
THE WESTERN GREAT BASIN.  DESPITE THIS...NORTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL
FLOW WILL REMAIN LIKELY IN PORTIONS OF THE AREA...WITH TYPICALLY
TERRAIN-FAVORED AREAS EXPERIENCING GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR 90 F UNDER FULL SUNSHINE...AND ANOTHER
DAY OF WARM/DRY CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN CONTINUED DRYING
OF FUELS.  THE OVERALL LOWER MAGNITUDE OF THE THREAT PRECLUDES
ISSUANCE OF ANY CRITICAL DELINEATIONS FOR THIS FORECAST...ALTHOUGH
THE REGION WILL BE MONITORED FOR INDICATIONS OF STRONGER WINDS THAN
CURRENTLY FORECAST...WHICH MAY INCREASE THE ATTENDANT FIRE WEATHER
THREAT.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

$$



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