Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 290439
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290439
KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-290645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1433
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1139 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...E CENTRAL AND SERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 421...

VALID 290439Z - 290645Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 421
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...LOCAL/ISOLATED SEVERE RISK CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF WW
421.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS INITIAL STORMS WHICH PROMPTED
ISSUANCE OF WW 421 NOW SUB-SEVERE...AND CONTINUING WEAKEN AS THEY
MOVE SEWD INTO FAR SERN CO AND ADJACENT SWRN KS.
HOWEVER...NEW/ISOLATED CELLS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER NRN PORTIONS OF THE
WW...THE MOST INTENSE OF WHICH /NOW OVER EL PASO CO/ HAVING PRODUCED
HAIL UP TO TENNIS-BALL SIZE IN THE PAST HOUR.  THE STORMS SEEM TO BE
OCCURRING WITHIN A SMALL/REMNANT AXIS OF MORE FAVORABLE
INSTABILITY...WITH NELY SURFACE WINDS AIDING UPSLOPE-INDUCED ASCENT
INVOF THE PALMER DIVIDE.

STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS THE CO/KS
AREA OVERNIGHT /AIDED BY THE OBSERVED INCREASE IN A SLY LOW-LEVEL
JET ACROSS THE REGION/.  HOWEVER...ONGOING SEVERE RISK SHOULD
GRADUALLY WANE AS STORMS SLOWLY DIMINISH IN INTENSITY DUE TO
CONTINUED CONVECTIVE PROCESSING OF THE REMAINING CAPE.

..GOSS.. 07/29/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON   37010481 38590532 39550405 39070192 38040150 36990219
            37010481



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