Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
FXUS64 KSJT 272340
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
640 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2015
VFR conditions will continue across the next 24 hours. Light winds
tonight will increase from the south and southwest on Saturday
with gusts around 20 knots.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 409 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2015/
Look for tranquil weather for the next 24 hours. Overnight lows
tonight will be slightly warmer than last night, as low-level
moisture begins to return. For tomorrow, a surface trough to the
west will produce gusty winds from the southwest. The down-slope
component of the winds will help produce afternoon highs tomorrow
well above seasonal normals, mainly in the 85 to 90 range.
(Saturday night into Friday)
Continued warm and dry conditions expected Sunday. A weak cold
front may try to slip into the Big Country Sunday afternoon into
Monday, but no rain and little cold air advection expected.
Both the GFS and EC still show an upper level trough moving
through Monday night into Tuesday night. CAPES Monday and Tuesday
approach 1000 J/KG, so a few thunderstorms possible. Main caveats
against heavy rainfall are limited lift and mid atmospheric moisture.
Still, both the GFS and ECMWF convective algorithms put out up to
1/2 inch, particularly over the I-10 corridor. A few showers may
linger in eastern zones Tuesday night as the upper trough moves
A surface trough moves through Wednesday, bringing in dry and
warmer, southwest to west air. A cold front Thursday afternoon will
winnow away even more moisture, but also bring cooler air Friday
with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 53 87 59 90 55 / 0 0 0 0 5
San Angelo 49 90 54 91 55 / 0 0 0 0 5
Junction 47 85 51 86 56 / 0 0 0 0 5