Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KSJT 300405
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1105 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions at all forecast terminals through the next
24 hours. A few sprinkles are possible overnight, but otherwise
dry weather is expected with scattered to broken mid-level clouds
around 10,000 ft. Light and variable winds overnight will become
southerly at less than 10 kts at most sites tomorrow. However,
KABI is expected to veer to a more west-southwest direction by
mid/late morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 624 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Patchy light rain will continue for a few hours this evening but
should have minimal impact at the forecast terminals. Otherwise,
expect a broken alto-cu layer around 10-12 kft to persist through
Sunday morning. Winds will be light and variable overnight,
becoming southerly at 5-10 kts by mid/late morning.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 326 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Weak upper trough over west Texas resulting in mostly elevated
showers/virga over the western half of the forecast area today.
Have seen a few thunderstorms try to develop this afternoon along
a weak boundary just northwest of Haskell, but so far, storms have
been pulsy and staying out of the area. Precip from weaker showers
to the west seems to be evaporating before reaching the
ground...with no measurable rainfall at this point. Based on radar
trends, will continue with 10-20 precip chances for mainly
northern counties tonight as the precip continues to move
eastward. Might see a few lingering showers in the morning...but
confidence is too low to mention in the forecast at this point.
Temps today have been several degrees cooler with increased cloud
cover. Expecting highs tomorrow to be still on the cool side...in
the mid 90s, but a little less cloud cover than today.

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The medium range models continue to show a quasistationary upper
level low over the Louisiana Gulf Coast next week, with the upper
ridge over West Texas. This pattern will result in dry and warm
weather continuing across West Central Texas through next
Saturday, with above normal temperatures through the period.
Normal highs for the first week of September are in the lower 90s
and we`ll see highs mainly in the mid and upper 90s for much of
the period, with overnight lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s. No
rain is expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  69  96  71  97 /  20   5   5   0
San Angelo  68  96  70  96 /  10   5   5   0
Junction  68  93  68  95 /  10   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

Johnson


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