Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
FXUS64 KSJT 270402
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1102 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2016
Stratus development across the Interstate 10 corridor is looking
less likely, so VFR conditions were continue at all sites. Brief
MVFR ceilings are still possible, as patchy stratus develops
around sunrise. Winds will remain light and variable through the
next 24 hours.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 601 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2016/
Light and variable winds are expected through the next 24 hours,
with mainly VFR conditions prevailing. Brief MVFR ceilings will be
possible at KSOA and KJCT beginning between 12z and 13z, with VFR
conditions returning by mid to late morning.
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 310 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2016/
Dry and warm weather will continue for the next 24 hours. Models
bring a weak surface trough into West Central Texas tonight and
stall it along or near our Interstate 20 corridor. Although this
boundary will create light winds from the north, across locations
mainly along and north of Interstate 20, it will have little if any
impact on overnight lows. With surface dewpoints remaining nearly
steady overnight, lows will be close to persistence, mainly in the 60
to 63 range. For tomorrow, highs close to persistence look likely,
mainly in the lower to mid 80s.
More of the same weather is expected through this weekend as a
strong ridge of high pressure will dominate our weather through
Sunday. This should result in a dry, sunny and an unseasonably
warm weekend with highs in the 80s.
(Monday through Wednesday)
A change in the weather pattern is possible next week, but our
confidence is low right now. By next Monday, the upper ridge is
progged to break down, allowing upper level southwesterly flow to
return to the region. The GFS is wetter next Tuesday through
Wednesday as compared to the dry ECMWF.
For now, have introduced silent 10-13 Pops for Tuesday and
Wednesday. With such differences in the models this far out, would
like to wait until models come into better agreement over the
next day or two, before introducing higher Pops. However,
afternoon highs may be a few degrees cooler next Tuesday and
Wednesday with more cloud cover and an increase of low level
moisture flowing into West Central Texas. Stay tuned.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 60 83 62 83 / 10 5 0 0
San Angelo 59 86 60 84 / 0 5 0 0
Junction 59 84 57 83 / 0 5 0 0
Brownwood 61 85 59 84 / 5 5 0 0
Sweetwater 58 83 62 82 / 0 5 0 0
Ozona 58 83 57 81 / 0 5 0 0