Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KSJT 272340
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
640 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will continue across the next 24 hours. Light winds
tonight will increase from the south and southwest on Saturday
with gusts around 20 knots.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 409 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...
Look for tranquil weather for the next 24 hours. Overnight lows
tonight will be slightly warmer than last night, as low-level
moisture begins to return. For tomorrow, a surface trough to the
west will produce gusty winds from the southwest. The down-slope
component of the winds will help produce afternoon highs tomorrow
well above seasonal normals, mainly in the 85 to 90 range.

Huber

LONG TERM...

(Saturday night into Friday)

Continued warm and dry conditions expected Sunday. A weak cold
front may try to slip into the Big Country Sunday afternoon into
Monday, but no rain and little cold air advection expected.

Both the GFS and EC still show an upper level trough moving
through Monday night into Tuesday night. CAPES Monday and Tuesday
approach 1000 J/KG, so a few thunderstorms possible. Main caveats
against heavy rainfall are limited lift and mid atmospheric moisture.
Still, both the GFS and ECMWF convective algorithms put out up to
1/2 inch, particularly over the I-10 corridor. A few showers may
linger in eastern zones Tuesday night as the upper trough moves
over.

A surface trough moves through Wednesday, bringing in dry and
warmer, southwest to west air. A cold front Thursday afternoon will
winnow away even more moisture, but also bring cooler air Friday
with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  53  87  59  90  55 /   0   0   0   0   5
San Angelo  49  90  54  91  55 /   0   0   0   0   5
Junction  47  85  51  86  56 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/24





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