Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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258 FXUS64 KTSA 111956 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 256 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Through tonight ) Issued at 240 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024 Cloudiness will be on the increase overnight in advance of the next storm system that will affect the area Sunday and Monday. A few showers and possibly a thunderstorm will be possible overnight in far southeast Oklahoma, but most rain will hold off until Sunday. Overnight low temperatures will range from the mid 50s to lower 60s. && .LONG TERM... (Tomorrow through Saturday) Issued at 240 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024 Showers and a few thunderstorms will be on the increase Sunday and Sunday night as the upper system to the west begins to move out into the plains. Instability will remain modest by typical May standards so severe weather chances will remain low. Shower and storm chances will continue Monday as a surface low and weak cold front move across the area, but severe chances will remain limited at best. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible Sunday into Monday. Another upper level storm system will affect the area Wednesday night and Thursday bringing an additional round of showers and a few thunderstorms. Again, severe weather potential will remain rather limited, but locally heavy rainfall will be possible. Temperatures will generally remain near the seasonal averages through much of the upcoming week, but a notable trend towards warmer weather will be seen by next weekend. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024 VFR conditions will prevail through the period, with increasing high and mid clouds from the west later this afternoon through the evening. Increase in in showers and thunderstorms possible into southeast OK before 18z Sunday, but after in most locations. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 60 77 61 78 / 10 60 90 70 FSM 61 80 61 80 / 10 40 80 70 MLC 61 76 61 80 / 10 70 80 60 BVO 56 77 59 77 / 10 60 100 70 FYV 54 78 58 75 / 10 20 90 90 BYV 56 79 58 75 / 10 20 80 90 MKO 60 77 60 77 / 10 60 90 70 MIO 56 78 59 74 / 10 40 90 90 F10 60 75 60 77 / 10 70 90 60 HHW 61 74 61 80 / 20 80 60 40 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...05 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...14