Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA

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000
FXUS66 KEKA 291818
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
1118 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER HOT AND DRY DAY IS IN STORE FOR NW
CALIFORNIA. SOME RELIEF WILL ARRIVE ON THURSDAY AS CLOUDS BEGIN TO
STREAM IN FROM THE SOUTH...THOUGH MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER UPDATE...CONDITIONS ARE IMPROVING ACROSS FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 203/204, SO ALLOWED THE RFW TO EXPIRE. ADDED
HEADLINES TO ACCOUNT FOR THE DRY CONDITIONS AND POOR RH
RECOVERIES THROUGH FRIDAY. ALSO, ADDED HEADLINES TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. OTHERWISE, NO
CHANGES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION......ISSUED AT 432 AM PDT...

DISCUSSION...TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO WARM TODAY AS HEIGHTS BUILD
AND OFFSHORE FLOW REMAINS IN PLACE. SOUTHERLY FLOW ALONG THE COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BRING A SHARP COOL DOWN,
ESPECIALLY TO THE MENDO COAST. MORNING FOG PROD SATELLITE
INDICATES A WELL DEVELOPED STRATUS LAYER BEGINNING TO PUSH AROUND
POINT REYES. WE WILL NEED TO WATCH THIS TO SEE HOW IT EVOLVES
THROUGH THE DAY AS MODELS DO NOT SEEM TO BE HANDLING IT WELL.
REGARDLESS, LOOK FOR MORE RECORDS TO FALL TODAY.

TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE BY THURSDAY AS CLOUD COVER CREEPS
INTO THE REGION DUE TO A MONSOONAL MOISTURE PUSH FROM THE SSE.
MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF TRINITY COUNTY EACH AFTERNOON FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WARM TEMPS SHOULD HELP TO TRIGGER THIS
ACTIVITY WITH THE PEAKING EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. WEEKEND ACTIVITY
SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED. MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME LIMITED
NEXT WEEK, MAKING CONVECTIVE A TOUGH PROPOSITION. TEMPS WILL BE
MORE SEASONABLE NEXT WEEK. BFG

AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS THROUGHOUT THE AREA. COASTAL SITES WILL LIKELY SEE SOME
VSBY REDUCTIONS DUE TO HAZE EARLY THIS MORNING...INCLUDING
PERIODIC DROPS TO MVFR OR EVEN IFR PRIOR. MIXING SHOULD RESTORE
VFR VSBYS BY MID TO LATE MORNING.

MARINE...FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK THROUGHOUT THE WATERS THIS
MORNING AS STRONG WINDS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AND PULL FARTHER
OFFSHORE. WHILE SEAS ARE BEGINNING TO TREND DOWNWARD AS
WELL...AREA BUOYS INDICATE THAT SEAS REMAIN STEEP THIS MORNING
WITH SIG WAVE HEIGHTS RUNNING AROUND 8 TO 10 FEET AT 8 TO 9
SECONDS. WHILE THE DOMINANT WAVE PRESENT IN THE WATERS CONTINUES
TO BE LOCALLY GENERATED NORTHWESTERLY WIND WAVES AND FRESH
SWELL...A MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY SWELL OF AROUND 3 FEET AT 16 TO
17 SECONDS IS BEGINNING TO ENTER THE WATERS AS WELL. WHILE IMPACTS
FROM THIS SWELL ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE MAJOR...SOME SOUTH AND
SOUTHWESTERLY FACING BEACHES AND HARBORS MAY NOTICE ITS PRESENCE
THROUGH THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. OTHERWISE...SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED
BUT CONTINUE TO DECLINE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY AND
OVERNIGHT...EVENTUALLY SETTLING AT AROUND 5 TO 7 FT / 7 TO 8
SECONDS IN THE OUTER WATERS AND 3 TO 5 FEET CLOSER TO SHORE BY
LATE THURSDAY.

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.

NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PZZ470.

&&

$$

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