Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA

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FXUS66 KHNX 111051
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
251 AM PST THU FEB 11 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING
FOG IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. A WEATHER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA WITH PRECIPITATION EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RIDGE FLATTENED ENOUGH TO KEEP US FROM RECORD BREAKING TEMPS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR YESTERDAY. VERY SIMILAR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN TODAY AS THE RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE.
HOWEVER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE ONSHORE INTO THE PAC NW TONIGHT.
THIS WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP OUR TEMPS DROPPING THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE FLATTENS OUT AND SHIFTS EAST BY FRIDAY NIGHT.

WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE REGION ON
SAT WITH CONTINUED SYNOPTIC COOLING ACROSS THE FA. SOME HIGH AND
MID CLOUDS WITH THE TROUGH. IT WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED ENOUGH TO
LIMIT THE CHANCE OF ANY PRECIP.

EPAC RIDGE BUILDS EAST INTO THE AREA BY MONDAY WITH GRADUAL
WARMING TREND MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE RIDGE FLATTENS OUT AND
SLIDES SE INTO THE FOUR CORNERS AS A DIGGING TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO IMPACT THE AREA WITH RAIN AND HIGH
ELEVATION SNOW STARTING WED. GUIDANCE IS BECOMING MORE CONFIDENT
WITH THIS FEATURE AND WE ARE INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIP WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. SNOW LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO START OUT AROUND 8000
FEET ON WED BEFORE DROPPING TO AROUND 5000 FEET BY THURSDAY AS THE
COLD AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT. WE ARE KEEPING IN MOUNTAIN
SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...
IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE WITH LOCAL IFR IN
FOG POSSIBLE FROM 12Z TO 18Z THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON THURSDAY FEBRUARY 11 2016... FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO... KERN...
KINGS... MADERA AND MERCED COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 02-11       73:1925     46:2001     53:1970     28:1948
KFAT 02-12       76:1921     46:1903     54:1983     27:1949
KFAT 02-13       79:1921     43:1903     56:1987     24:1949

KBFL 02-11       81:1925     45:1989     56:1925     20:1901
KBFL 02-12       80:1921     42:1919     56:1957     20:1901
KBFL 02-13       83:1924     49:1949     55:1986     25:1908

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...MOLINA
SYNOPSIS...JDB

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD


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